CAS G05 Youth Soccer Rankings (1)

Due to the birth year age group change previous youth soccer rankings are no longer any good. I am attempting to build a realistic ranking model that eventually tournaments can use to help seed teams. The methodology uses the excel solver and a "best fit" algorithm that takes as input scores from all tournaments and league play to then come up with a "strength" number for each team. The difference in strength numbers tells you how many more goals better one team is than another. Due to small sample sizes early in the season there will be a few strange rankings. As more games are played things will look more normal. Teams improve their ranking by winning by more than the expected goal differential or losing by less than the expected differential (basically doing better than expected). Teams move down in the rankings by doing the opposite. I have done this for the G04 rankings and I now have a volunteer who is keeping track of all the G05 scores so I can post rankings for this age group too. We have tried to minimize mistakes (we are hand inputting scores from tournament websites) which is hard to do due to teams being listed with slightly different names in each tournament. I will only list the top 200 teams. The SRS column tells how strong your team is compared to other teams. Only games played between Cal South teams are considered. In order to include Cal North or games/teams from other regions you would need to include all teams from those regions to make rankings accurate and that is not a task I am will to take on.

New: The SoS column stands for "Strength of Schedule". This column is sorted by which team has the toughest strength of schedule. You can tell which teams are playing the toughest schedules and which teams are scheduling pansies.

CAS Girls 2005 Soccer Rankings (as of August 22, 2016) Rev 1

Rank	Team	Rating	Rank SoS	W	L	T	GF	GA	League
1	LAGSB 2005 Elite	9.977	9	18	2	0	93	8	SCSDL Flight 1
2	SD Surf EGSL Academy 2005	9.451	1	11	1	0	42	9	SCSDL Flight 1
3	So Cal Blues 2005 Draluck	8.718	10	12	2	0	53	11	SCSDL Flight 1
4	Strikers FC - OC 2005 Egsl	8.52	6	5	1	0	23	7	SCSDL Flight 1
5	Eagles	8.117	40	10	1	1	57	5	CSL Silver-Elite South
6	Beach FC - LB White-R.Perez	7.632	4	13	4	2	50	18	SCSDL Flight 1
7	LAGSD G05 Elite-Gurley	7.345	22	12	4	0	52	14	CSL Silver-Elite South
8	So Cal Blues - 2005 Kale	6.88	7	9	3	0	22	9	SCSDL Flight 1
9	IE SURF G05 PREMIER RB	6.703	12	8	4	2	28	13	CSL Silver-Elite South
10	TFA S.E. LA	6.391	33	16	3	1	68	21	CSL Silver-Elite South
11	Legends FC 05	6.279	14	15	4	5	31	13	SCSDL Flight 1
12	REBELS GOLD 2005	6.144	30	23	2	4	83	31	SDDA Flight 1
13	SD Surf Academy Girls (Barclay) 2005	5.952	3	6	5	1	14	14	SCSDL Flight 1
14	Santa Monica Utd G05	5.797	66	8	0	0	28	3	CSL Silver North
15	CDA Slammers FC - HB G05 GATH	5.791	13	7	8	2	31	28	SCSDL Flight 1
16	Irvine Slammers FC G05 EGSL Winn	5.71	15	8	6	1	30	26	SCSDL Flight 1
17	Arsenal FC San Diego GU12 Elite	5.6	17	5	5	1	20	18	SCSDL Flight 1
18	DMCV Sharks G2005 - Mac Millan	5.586	39	11	2	2	31	4	SDDA Flight 1
19	Crown City United G05	5.528	35	6	4	0	23	8	CSL Silver-Elite South
20	LA United FA G2005 White	5.477	95	8	0	1	31	0	SCSDL Flight 2
21	CCU SoCal Academy G05	5.249	26	5	5	1	22	15	CSL Silver-Elite South
22	CDA Slammers FC - Cerritos G05 Segovia	5.175	28	9	5	3	32	20	SCSDL Flight 1
23	Murrieta Surf G05 White	5.087	23	11	8	5	38	34	SCSDL Flight 1
24	Beach FC - SB G05 Parker	5.009	19	5	5	1	14	18	SCSDL Flight 1
25	Legends FC South G05	5.007	8	3	10	3	15	27	SCSDL Flight 1
26	Slammers FC G2005	4.939	58	6	1	0	18	4	SCSDL Flight 1
27	FC Golden State - 2005 PDA East	4.879	2	2	13	4	8	31	CSL Silver-Elite South
28	LAGSD G05 Premier II-Bouchereau	4.86	24	9	8	2	28	27	SCSDL Flight 1
29	Hotspurs USA - G2005 Premier	4.845	43	7	3	3	35	20	SDDA Flight 1
30	Oceanside Breakers -G05 Blk	4.734	11	3	8	3	14	27	SDDA Flight 1
31	BYSC Corona United G05	4.688	5	2	5	1	5	15	CSL Silver-Elite South
32	Albion SC - OC White G05	4.659	107	9	1	1	40	9	CSL Silver South
33	Real So Cal G05 White	4.585	32	7	5	1	22	15	SCSDL Flight 1
34	Anaheim Surf Soccer Club G2005 Sanchez	4.422	16	0	2	1	0	3	SCSDL Flight 1
35	Albion SC G05 Academy	4.364	21	4	11	4	20	34	SDDA Flight 1
36	San Diego SC G2005 Academy Navy	4.271	18	2	5	2	11	21	SDDA Flight 1
37	FRAM G05-Hernandez	4.164	57	14	8	5	66	35	CSL Silver-Elite South
38	Pateadores G2005 RSM	4.024	72	11	4	0	37	14	SCSDL Flight 2
39	LAGSD G05 Gold-Walker	4.02	75	8	3	1	31	12	SDDA Flight 2
40	Jurupa FC	4.014	126	3	0	0	10	2
41	Freedom FC G-05	3.992	129	17	2	1	62	6	SCSDL Flight 2
42	Beach FC - LB G05 A.Perez(Calatroni)	3.976	47	10	9	3	46	34	SCSDL Flight 2
43	Coastal Valley Impact G05	3.957	149	7	0	1	29	3	CSL Bronze Alpha
44	DMCV Sharks G2005 - Favor	3.95	25	2	3	1	5	10	SDDA Flight 2
45	Slammers FC G2005 Maroon - Tamiko	3.947	38	4	4	2	12	11	SCSDL Flight 2
46	Express Girls 2005 Premier - Newman	3.916	42	6	4	3	25	23	SDDA Flight 1
47	REBELS - G05 Blue - HUGO	3.896	54	6	7	2	28	18	SDDA Flight 2
48	Strikers FC - OC 2005 Black	3.872	125	8	0	1	28	6	SCSDL Flight 1
49	Oxnard PAL SC G12	3.863	168	9	1	1	47	6	CSL Bronze Beta
50	IE Surf G05 Battista	3.861	68	6	1	1	16	6	CSL Silver South
51	Albion SC South - G05 Academy	3.855	36	12	14	3	43	47	SDDA Flight 2
52	OC Premier G05 Orange	3.76	93	5	3	2	27	10	CSL Silver-Elite South
53	JUSA LEGENDS	3.75	99	0	2	1	0	8
54	LAGSB Girls 2005 Gold	3.608	31	1	4	2	5	9	SCSDL Flight 2
55	CDA Slammers FC - Tustin G05 EGSL Aviles	3.508	29	5	7	0	15	26	SCSDL Flight 1
56	Fallbrook Villa F.C. 2005	3.491	194	7	0	0	32	2	Presidio AA-A
57	Legends FC Gold 05	3.353	34	4	9	3	25	36	SCSDL Flight 2
58	Canyon FC G05 Nagengast	3.295	94	2	1	1	8	3	CSL Silver South
59	FC Valencia G2005	3.229	71	8	4	3	22	11	SCSDL Flight 2
60	West Coast FC G05 Pre-ECNL	3.208	64	8	8	0	38	30	SCSDL Flight 1
61	Pateadores - HB G2005 Blue	3.111	41	2	4	0	9	13	SCSDL Flight 2
62	Beach FC - SB G05 Fisher	3.099	100	7	5	1	29	14	SCSDL Flight 2
63	So Cal Blues 2005 Kale - Otto	3.097	118	7	6	1	38	16	SCSDL Flight 2
64	Fullerton Rangers G05 White	2.993	74	8	3	0	24	18	CSL Silver South
65	Central Coast Condors G05	2.943	175	3	0	1	17	5	CSL Bronze Alpha
66	Cardiff Mustangs - G05 Red Clare	2.917	67	4	4	2	12	9	SDDA Flight 2
67	Pateadores - IER G05 BAILLIE	2.852	77	7	4	3	22	16	SCSDL Flight 2
68	Central CA Aztecs G2005	2.841	150	4	2	1	20	5	CSL Bronze North
69	Laguna United FC 2005 Blue (Dynamite)	2.794	98	7	3	2	22	12	SCSDL Flight 2
70	Palm Desert SC G05	2.726	82	6	1	0	17	14	CSL Silver South
71	South Slammers FC G05	2.671	143	6	2	2	24	5	SCSDL Flight 2
72	APPLE VALLEY STORM	2.65	50	1	2	1	5	8	CSL Bronze East
73	Oxnard United SC	2.646	122	7	3	1	31	18	CSL Silver North
74	Scripps United - G2005 Red	2.639	61	5	5	1	13	14	SDDA Flight 2
75	IE SURF G05 PARK	2.636	112	7	3	0	22	13	CSL Silver South
76	Poway Vaqueros Academy - G05 M.Willrich	2.609	87	9	7	1	29	21	Presidio AAA
77	SLOSC Storm G05	2.545	104	1	1	1	4	2	CSL Silver North
78	Beach FC - SB G05 Fisher B	2.433	101	1	0	1	2	1	SCSDL Flight 3
79	Strikers FC - North G05 IA	2.375	52	1	2	0	1	4	SCSDL Flight 2
80	Pateadores-PYL G2005 Blue	2.334	81	1	1	0	2	2	SCSDL Flight 3
81	Santa Barbara SC White	2.216	85	1	2	1	3	3	CSL Silver North
82	NOTTS FOREST 2005 RED	2.159	109	6	2	3	14	10	Presidio AA-C South
83	Kickers SC G05	2.12	59	2	5	4	19	26	CSL Bronze Alpha
84	Sand and Surf SC G2005 Black	2.07	114	4	2	4	10	6	SCSDL Flight 2
85	Westside Breakers 05 Blue	2.039	60	3	7	0	15	22	SCSDL Flight 3
86	West Coast FC G05 Filipovic	2.022	97	8	9	3	27	26	SCSDL Flight 2
87	La Mirada SA G05	2	79	4	0	0	12	1	CSL Bronze South
88	LA Premier FC	1.97	84	3	7	8	15	20	CSL Silver-Elite South
89	FRYSC SIGNATURE G05	1.95	78	2	2	0	4	3
90	Simi Valley Eclipse	1.924	155	4	1	1	14	6	CSL Bronze Gamma
91	JUSA SIGNATURE CRUSH	1.9	69	0	2	1	0	4
92	VC Fusion 2005	1.897	55	2	4	1	9	18	CSL Silver North
93	TEAM USA G05-06	1.891	103	5	4	2	21	21	CSL Silver North
94	Real So Cal G05 Blue	1.855	49	2	7	2	9	26	SCSDL Flight 2
95	Strikers FC - SB G2005 - White	1.83	70	2	4	1	5	10	SCSDL Flight 2
96	Real So Cal - SCV G2005W - Salvadori	1.81	48	2	7	4	4	25	SCSDL Flight 2
97	FC Golden State PDA - ESPEJEL	1.794	73	1	4	1	2	6	CSL Silver South
98	Canyon Hills United S A 05	1.678	177	3	1	0	11	4
99	Beach FC - SB G05 K.Pineda	1.656	111	4	4	2	11	12	SCSDL Flight 2
100	La Jolla IMPACT - G2005 Blue Painter	1.65	119	6	3	5	19	17	SDDA Flight 2
101	Matrix G05 SE Wht FABRICE	1.647	134	8	6	0	28	19	Presidio AA-A
102	SD Surf Academy Girls (Brookfield) 2005	1.632	130	6	3	1	28	23	SCSDL Flight 2
103	OVC - G2005 (Gigante)	1.6	62	5	8	3	16	34	Presidio AAA
104	West Coast Elite FC Black	1.587	20	2	1	0	3	14	CSL Silver North
105	Sporting SD - G2005 - Anthony/Neil Saffer	1.521	108	5	7	2	17	21	SDDA Flight 2
106	Express Girls 2005 Select - Full	1.455	146	9	3	1	28	19	Presidio AA-B North
107	West Coast FC G05 Swanson	1.391	51	3	6	1	8	28	SCSDL Flight 2
108	Pateadores G05 MV	1.352	76	4	5	4	14	28	SCSDL Flight 2
109	Legends FC - East Corona G05	1.28	115	3	8	1	18	22	SCSDL Flight 2
110	Corona/Extra	1.242	138	1	1	1	8	7
111	LEON	1.242	183	2	2	2	19	10	UNKNOWN
112	SD United G/2005 Black	1.228	133	4	2	3	14	12	Presidio AAA
113	Nado - G2005	1.216	165	6	2	2	16	6	Presidio AA-A
114	FC Premier G2005 - Napalan	1.212	131	3	6	1	13	12	SCSDL Flight 2
115	San Marcos United - G2005	1.208	176	7	2	2	23	9	Presidio AA-A
116	LAGSD G05 White-Cacioppo	1.186	191	9	3	3	37	10	Presidio AA-A
117	Futbol Foundation SC	1.163	156	5	5	2	25	18	CSL Bronze North
118	LA United FA G2005 Red	1.151	124	2	4	1	9	11	SCSDL Flight 3
119	PYSL Blast SC - Ghio G2005	1.147	136	2	3	1	5	4	Presidio AAA
120	IE Surf G05 HF West	1.095	163	4	4	2	23	15	CSL Silver-Elite South
121	Newcastle United G2005	1.07	102	2	4	1	6	12	CSL Bronze Delta
122	Matrix G05 EC	1.029	196	6	2	0	23	7	Presidio AA-B South
123	Simi Valley Premier Green	0.986	141	4	4	0	20	19	CSL Bronze Gamma
124	Slammers FC G2005 White	0.972	63	2	6	0	8	22	SCSDL Flight 3
125	Legends FC G05 Black	0.965	37	1	10	1	8	43	SCSDL Flight 3
126	FC Premier G2005 - Black Burrola	0.951	140	8	8	1	32	31	SCSDL Flight 2
127	LAGSB Girls 2005 Navy	0.93	161	2	2	3	12	8	SCSDL Flight 2
128	LA Galaxy CV G05 Blue	0.911	193	1	2	0	10	5	CSL Bronze Beta
129	TVHSC Girls 2005 Black	0.862	169	2	1	1	7	4	SCSDL Flight 3
130	San Diego SC G2005 White	0.857	135	9	11	2	24	27	Presidio AA-B North
131	Hurricanes G05	0.772	199	3	1	0	10	1	Presidio AA-C North
132	LA Galaxy CV G05 Red	0.699	123	2	2	0	5	8	CSL Bronze Gamma
133	Matrix G05 SE Blu PARISE	0.607	158	8	9	2	24	21	Presidio AAA
134	CDA Slammers FC - Whittier G05 Carroll	0.579	181	4	2	0	11	6	SCSDL Flight 2
135	YASC SPARTANS FC G05	0.574	92	2	3	1	6	15	CSL Silver South
136	Albion SC G05 Premier	0.505	151	5	7	4	17	20	Presidio AA-A
137	Express Girls 2005 Select - Gutierrez	0.475	182	3	2	2	9	4	Presidio AA-B North
138	Legacy United SC G05	0.454	83	1	3	1	6	15	CSL Bronze Alpha
139	TVHSC Girls 2005 Academy	0.442	142	2	3	1	4	6	SCSDL Flight 2
140	Beach FC - SB G05 Hansen	0.418	65	0	7	0	4	20	SCSDL Flight 3
141	FC Long Beach G05 Blue	0.396	139	1	2	1	3	5	CSL Bronze South
142	Hotspurs USA - G2005 White	0.356	189	4	0	3	11	5	Presidio AA-B South
143	Westside Breakers 05 White	0.323	44	1	2	0	4	14	SCSDL Flight 2
144	LIVERPOOL SC G05 - RED	0.313	185	10	6	1	34	23	Presidio AA-B South
145	CA Football Academy-San Clemente G05 Hadwick	0.261	113	1	6	0	2	12	SCSDL Flight 3
146	Coastal Valley Flash SB	0.132	86	0	2	1	5	11	CSL Bronze Alpha
147	Temecula United - G2005L	0.123	195	9	2	0	18	6	Presidio AA-B North
148	Barca Cantera Johny 05 RED	0.058	180	9	4	1	23	19	Presidio AA-B South
149	MVSC Legacy	0.054	147	1	2	0	3	5	CSL Bronze South
150	LA Galaxy Bakersfield G05	0.02	160	1	1	1	3	4	CSL Bronze North
151	LAGSB Girls 2005 White	0.008	153	3	5	3	9	16	SCSDL Flight 3
152	Mamba FC G 05/06	0	173	0	0	0	0	0	CSL Bronze South
153	CSC G-2005 Red	-0.011	179	3	3	4	12	11	Presidio AA-B South
154	REIGN FC	-0.071	53	0	3	0	0	10
155	Santa Monica Utd G05 Blue	-0.072	200	2	0	0	4	1	CSL Bronze West
156	Arsenal FC - LA G05 FC Mejia	-0.12	198	2	1	0	6	2	SCSDL Flight 3
157	International FC G05 Shah	-0.134	187	4	1	1	7	4	CSL Bronze West
158	RSF Attack G05 Green	-0.153	121	0	6	2	1	14	Presidio AA-A
159	Rebels Soccer Club - G05 White	-0.159	127	2	8	4	14	34	Presidio AA-A
160	Irvine Slammers FC G05 WHITE - Watson**	-0.193	120	3	6	0	11	26	SCSDL Flight 2
161	Vista Storm SC - G2005 Black	-0.283	164	2	5	2	12	17	Presidio AA-B North
162	LAGSD G05 White-Bedford	-0.309	144	3	8	2	6	20	Presidio AA-C North
163	CDA Slammers FC - Tustin G05 Flor	-0.339	174	1	1	1	3	4	SCSDL Flight 2
164	PYSL Blast SC -Turner G2005	-0.381	170	1	5	5	14	19	Presidio AA-C North
165	CDA Slammers FC - Fullerton G2005 Bautista	-0.383	46	0	5	1	3	26	SCSDL Flight 2
166	San Clemente Surf G05	-0.424	172	1	4	4	11	15	SCSDL Flight 3
167	Matrix G05 ST - MATTES	-0.434	186	3	4	3	8	8	Presidio AA-C South
168	FC Camarillo - AC	-0.459	117	0	2	0	1	5	CSL Bronze Gamma
169	AV United - AC	-0.463	105	0	2	1	0	7	CSL Bronze North
170	Murrieta Surf G05 Blue	-0.48	137	2	7	3	12	29	SCSDL Flight 3
171	Greater LB Impact	-0.514	56	0	6	0	0	22	CSL Bronze West
172	Arsenal FC SD G05 Elite II- E. Ocampo	-0.525	190	2	2	0	6	6	SDDA Flight 2
173	Oceanside Breakers -G05 Blu	-0.849	159	1	6	5	6	21	Presidio AA-B North
174	Sporting SD - G2005 - Patrick Yeatts	-0.866	192	7	8	1	29	33	Presidio AA-C South
175	San Diego SC G2005 Orange	-0.902	96	2	11	1	7	48	SDDA Flight 2
176	CDA Slammers FC - YL G05 Huie/Carillo	-0.959	148	1	4	1	7	17	SCSDL Flight 2
177	Oxnard Wave SC	-1.02	27	0	4	0	1	23	CSL Bronze Beta
178	Valencia United - AC	-1.152	106	0	3	0	2	11	CSL Bronze North
179	AC Brea G05 Red	-1.244	128	1	4	1	3	18	CSL Bronze South
180	Granada United G05	-1.248	91	0	2	1	0	10	CSL Bronze Gamma
181	DMCV Sharks G2005 - Hammond	-1.338	90	2	7	0	4	35	SDDA Flight 2
182	VC Fusion G2005-1	-1.536	197	1	1	0	3	4	CSL Bronze Beta
183	Culver City FC G05	-1.588	116	0	5	1	1	20	CSL Bronze West
184	Newbury Park SC Vipers	-1.819	188	1	2	0	5	9	CSL Bronze Gamma
185	YASC Spartans FC G05 Blk	-2.004	166	1	4	1	7	20	CSL Bronze East
186	FC Heat G2005	-2.023	178	2	6	1	4	21	Presidio AA-C North
187	FRAM Scachetti	-2.034	88	0	6	0	1	26	CSL Bronze West
188	Bonita Matrix Gold Koch	-2.123	171	2	9	0	5	29	Presidio AA-A
189	ARSENAL FC - 2005 DINGLE	-2.278	184	1	2	0	4	10
190	CDA Slammers FC - HB G05 Reyes/Lopez	-2.514	45	0	6	0	1	37	SCSDL Flight 2
191	IE Surf G05 Ficke	-3.028	154	1	8	0	3	36	CSL Bronze East
192	AVFC	-3.305	80	0	3	0	1	18	CSL Bronze North
193	Beach FC - LB G05 Albeno	-3.324	152	0	3	0	0	12	SCSDL Flight 3
194	Irvine Slammers FC - G05 Black Niccole**	-3.401	145	1	5	0	2	27	SCSDL Flight 3
195	Crescenta Valley SC - SCV G05	-3.477	162	0	4	2	4	27	SCSDL Flight 3
196	FC England G05	-3.621	132	0	3	0	1	15	CSL Bronze West
197	San Diego SC G2005 Black	-3.992	157	0	8	1	1	42	Presidio AA-C South
198	Madrid Premier G05C	-4.911	110	0	3	0	2	22	CSL Bronze Alpha
199	FFSC WHITE	-5.012	89	0	6	1	1	51	CSL Bronze East
200	LA Galaxy CV G05 White	-6.019	167	0	6	0	2	39	CSL Bronze Beta