CAS G04 Youth Soccer Rankings

Due to the birth year age group change previous youth soccer rankings are no longer any good. I am attempting to build a realistic ranking model that eventually tournaments can use to help seed teams. The methodology uses the excel solver and a "best fit" algorithm that takes as input scores from all tournaments and league play to then come up with a "strength" number for each team. The difference in strength numbers tells you how many more goals better one team is than another. Due to small sample sizes early in the season there will be a few strange rankings. As more games are played things will look more normal. Teams improve their ranking by winning by more than the expected goal differential or losing by less than the expected differential (basically doing better than expected). Teams move down in the rankings by doing the opposite. I have tried to minimize mistakes (I am hand inputting scores from tournament websites) which is hard to do due to teams being listed with slightly different names in each tournament. I will only list the top 200 teams. The SRS column tells how strong your team is compared to other teams. Only games played between Cal South teams are considered. I have eliminated a few duplicate teams from the previous rankings that came out and correctly assigned games to teams.

New: The SoS column stands for "Strength of Schedule". This column is sorted by which team has the toughest strength of schedule. You can tell which teams are playing the toughest schedules and which teams are scheduling pansies.

CAS Girls 2004 Soccer Rankings (as of August 10, 2016)

Rank	Team	SRS	Rank SoS	W	L	T	PTS/Game	GF	GA	Previous Rank	League
1	CDA Slammers FC Cerritos Macias	7.723	8	11	2	1	2.43	28	6	4	SCSDL Flight 1
2	SD Surf EGSL Academy	7.414	9	6	1	1	2.38	17	3	1	SCSDL Flight 1
3	Fullerton Rangers White	7.173	64	5	0	3	2.25	30	2	6	CSL Gold
4	Arsenal FC Pre ECNL Brown	7.001	18	9	1	2	2.42	28	7	7	SCSDL Flight 1
5	Real SoCal EGSL	6.962	13	7	3	0	2.1	21	6	3	SCSDL Flight 1
6	Real SoCal White	6.942	28	5	1	1	2.29	20	4	10	SCSDL Flight 1
7	LA Galaxy SD Elite	6.885	5	5	2	1	2	9	4	8	CSL Gold
8	Beach FC LB Arrache	6.828	3	4	2	2	1.75	11	7	5	SCSDL Flight 1
9	CCU SoCal Academy	6.731	63	6	1	1	2.38	20	5	9	CSL Gold
10	Real SoCal - SCV White Salvadori	6.687	60	7	1	2	2.3	34	7	11	SCSDL Flight 1
11	DMCV Sharks Toumi	6.477	142	8	0	1	2.78	33	1	2
12	LA Galaxy South Bay Elite	6.455	10	5	3	1	1.78	16	9	12	SCSDL Flight 1
13	IE Surf Premier RB	6.445	32	5	1	1	2.29	14	3	16	CSL Gold
14	Strikers FC - OC EGSL Bull	6.416	65	3	1	0	2.25	13	4	13	SCSDL Flight 1
15	MVSC Legacy	6.4	160	3	1	0	2.25	17	2	15	CSL Bronze South
16	Arsenal South	6.341	148	4	0	0	3	15	1	18	SCSDL Flight 2
17	Eagles	6.126	4	3	2	1	1.67	8	9	45	CSL Gold
18	SD Surf Academy Condliffe	6.069	7	2	2	1	1.4	6	6	17	SCSDL Flight 1
19	SDSC Navy Academy	6.031	22	10	5	2	1.88	29	12	22	SCSDL Flight 2
20	Rebels Gold	6.019	37	10	2	3	2.2	33	11	14
21	SO Cal Blues Dido	5.954	2	2	3	2	1.14	7	11	29	SCSDL Flight 1
22	CDA Slammers FC - HB Elite EGSL Gimenez	5.946	66	4	2	1	1.86	16	8	26	SCSDL Flight 1
23	Freedom FC	5.887	35	7	2	1	2.2	14	3	21	SCSDL Flight 2
24	Futbol Foundation	5.734	136	3	1	0	2.25	14	3	28	CSL Silver North
25	Albion Premier	5.703	73	4	1	1	2.17	13	3	20
26	West Coast FC Pre-ECNL Swanson	5.668	15	3	3	2	1.38	10	7	36	SCSDL Flight 1
27	Temecula Valley Hawks Academy	5.645	108	5	2	0	2.14	21	8	30	SCSDL Flight 2
28	Beach FC - SB Gouveia	5.64	21	5	3	2	1.7	12	7	33	SCSDL Flight 1
29	SO Cal Blues Kale	5.583	38	6	4	0	1.8	18	9	39	SCSDL Flight 1
30	AYSO Extra Riverside United	5.582	16	2	2	0	1.5	7	6	34	NA
31	Strikers FC North Flores	5.58	167	7	1	0	2.63	29	2	31	SCSDL Flight 2
32	RSC Black	5.579	144	2	1	0	2	12	4	40
33	NHB FC Black	5.563	83	6	3	2	1.82	33	12	27	CSL Silver South
34	Legacy Valdez	5.538	101	3	0	1	2.5	10	2	32	CSL Silver South
35	South Valley Thunder Villa	5.527	43	3	1	0	2.25	9	5	24	CSL Silver North
36	Notts Forest FC Red	5.488	40	6	3	4	1.69	19	10	157
37	Pateadores Irvine	5.402	24	2	2	0	1.5	8	3	72	SCSDL Flight 1
38	Kickers	5.392	191	9	0	0	3	38	5	19	CSL Silver Alpha
39	IE Surf West Fraschetti	5.392	104	6	4	1	1.73	34	10	38	CSL Silver-Elite South
40	UIFC Venom	5.379	174	6	2	1	2.11	31	4	49	CSL Silver-Elite
41	Westside Breakers White	5.312	47	4	2	1	1.86	17	11	42	SCSDL Flight 1
42	Legends FC - East Riverside	5.242	31	9	5	0	1.93	23	18	50	SCSDL Flight 1
43	Legends FC	5.218	11	3	5	5	1.08	9	14	48	SCSDL Flight 1
44	OC Premier Orange	5.17	50	7	3	1	2	17	9	35	CSL Silver-Elite South
45	IE Surf MB/SB West	5.152	12	2	4	1	1	9	12	54	CSL Silver-Elite South
46	Beach FC - Long Beach Nunes	5.113	74	10	2	2	2.29	29	14	41	SCSDL Flight 2
47	Arsenal FC West EGSL Aguirre	5.102	23	1	1	0	1.5	2	2	47	SCSDL Flight 2
48	Soccer Life Academy	5.071	127	3	0	1	2.5	13	4	60	SCSDL Flight 2
49	Oxnard United	5.062	139	9	3	0	2.25	34	9	52	CSL Silver Alpha
50	Albion SC Academy	5.06	26	4	4	4	1.33	13	13	55	CSL Gold
51	Legacy FC Diamond Bar	4.986	58	3	2	3	1.5	7	5	51	CSL Silver South
52	Strikers FC South Coast - Alvarez	4.985	6	2	7	0	0.67	6	17	43	SCSDL Flight 2
53	CDA Slammers FC Cerritos Segovia	4.982	29	5	4	3	1.5	13	10	62	SCSDL Flight 1
54	Arsenal FC San Diego EGSL	4.873	27	2	2	4	1.25	5	9	37	SCSDL Flight 1
55	Slammers FC Pre ECNL Winn	4.759	51	7	2	3	2	20	7	23	SCSDL Flight 1
56	Riverside United	4.758	120	3	1	1	2	11	3	78
57	CDA Slammers FC - Yorba Linda EGSL Huie	4.739	44	3	4	2	1.22	8	9	46	SCSDL Flight 1
58	FC Premier Burrola Black	4.735	92	9	5	0	1.93	31	16	61	SCSDL Flight 2
59	Arsenal FC - SCV	4.734	76	5	3	1	1.78	17	10	59	SCSDL Flight 2
60	Oceanside Breakers Black	4.572	30	1	1	0	1.5	3	5	34	CSL Gold
61	La Mirada FC	4.553	89	2	1	1	1.75	4	1	57	CSL Bronze Central
62	California Football Academy Jaussi	4.53	180	3	0	1	2.5	12	3	74
63	Beach FC SB Fisher	4.51	75	5	4	0	1.67	16	11	64	SCSDL Flight 2
64	Simi Valley Eclipse	4.502	39	4	4	0	1.5	10	11	75	CSL Silver-Elite North
65	SC Antelope	4.475	128	7	2	2	2.09	27	12	81	CSL Silver North
66	Hotspurs Premier	4.451	116	3	0	4	1.86	9	1	69
67	Arsenal FC South Hollis	4.448	19	1	3	0	0.75	2	5	71	SCSDL Flight 2
68	CDA Slammers Tustin Pre ECNL Aviles	4.434	81	1	0	2	1.67	6	1	63	SCSDL Flight 1
69	Bonita Matrix	4.427	185	12	5	1	2.06	60	21	73
70	Vista Storm Black	4.411	90	3	4	3	1.2	10	6	60
71	Legends East Corona	4.289	194	3	0	1	2.5	15	3	88	SCSDL Flight 3
72	LA Galaxy SD White Buelna	4.272	192	9	1	1	2.55	33	5	84
73	Murrieta Surf Blue Uribe	4.267	177	12	3	1	2.31	43	12	77	SCSDL Flight 2
74	Oxnard Wave	4.249	91	4	2	1	1.86	19	15	82	CSL Bronze Beta
75	Spartans FC Black	4.221	145	2	1	0	2	8	4	86	CSL Bronze East
76	LA Galaxy SD Premier Eckerlin	4.168	62	2	5	2	0.89	15	18	66
77	Dynamo ECSC	4.157	188	5	2	1	2	22	4	85
78	Rebels Blue	4.137	158	11	3	5	2	40	13	76
79	LA Galaxy South Bay Gold Gutierrez	4.132	190	2	1	0	2	12	5	NA	SCSDL Flight 2
80	Legends FC Gold	4.132	94	1	3	2	0.83	7	7	67	SCSDL Flight 2
81	FC Premier Cypress Stamps	4.129	165	13	2	0	2.6	34	11	68	SCSDL Flight 3
82	Legends FC South White Luff	4.105	52	3	5	4	1.08	6	10	102	SCSDL Flight 1
83	IE Surf Lara	4.032	173	7	1	3	2.18	24	6	92	CSL Silver South
84	Strikers FC South Coast Black Martinez	3.974	88	4	2	1	1.86	7	6	87	SCSDL Flight 2
85	Santee Matrix	3.889	195	3	1	0	2.25	13	2	101
86	FC Premier Maisterra	3.884	152	4	3	1	1.63	14	5	153	SCSDL Flight 2
87	FC Premier Los Al Salazar	3.846	109	5	3	3	1.64	19	14	93	SCSDL Flight 2
88	West Coast Futbol Filipovic	3.844	140	5	3	3	1.64	26	10	114	SCSDL Flight 2
89	Rialto Fire SC	3.81	150	1	1	1	1.33	5	2	186	CSL Bronze Delta
90	Santa Monica United	3.78	67	2	3	1	1.17	5	7	90	CSL Silver-Elite North
91	Eagles White	3.764	99	5	5	4	1.36	18	15	97	CSL Silver Alpha
92	Arsenal FC North Brown 2	3.724	54	2	3	1	1.17	5	9	91	SCSDL Flight 2
93	SD Surf Academy Velloso	3.709	61	0	2	0	0	0	5	105	SCSDL Flight 2
94	Scripps United	3.698	189	6	1	0	2.57	16	3	70
95	Coachella Valley Desert Storm	3.66	106	2	2	1	1.4	12	10	103	CSL Silver-Elite South
96	Slammers FC EGSL Brooks	3.657	53	2	3	2	1.14	7	8	79	SCSDL Flight 1
97	Pateadores Long Beach Blue	3.631	183	2	1	0	2	8	3	113	SCSDL Flight 3
98	Liverpool Red Trask	3.622	124	6	5	2	1.54	17	12	104
99	Westside Breakers Blue	3.61	184	5	1	5	1.82	21	5	44	SCSDL Flight 2
100	Pateadores PYL Blue	3.602	57	0	3	0	0	2	7	94	SCSDL Flight 2
101	Blast SC - Evenson	3.593	96	3	2	2	1.57	6	6	89
102	Hollywood FC	3.579	149	3	1	0	2.25	12	9	108	CSL Silver-Elite North
103	South Bay United	3.543	121	1	1	1	1.33	8	7	167	CSL Bronze West
104	Arsenal FC LA Guzman	3.542	33	0	2	1	0.33	1	5	100	SCSDL Flight 2
105	San Marcos Revolution	3.51	125	11	7	1	1.79	31	26	98
106	Strikers OC Red	3.412	138	4	2	1	1.86	10	7	95	SCSDL Flight 2
107	OVC - Martinez	3.41	119	5	3	7	1.47	18	16	111
108	BYSC Corona United	3.386	82	1	5	9	0.8	8	15	109	CSL Gold
109	LA Galaxy South Bay Navy	3.376	157	4	3	2	1.56	13	7	106	SCSDL Flight 2
110	La Jolla Impact	3.363	176	5	5	4	1.36	26	20	120
111	Celtic St. Patrick	3.355	112	2	2	0	1.5	6	6	199	CSL Bronze East
112	Sand And Surf Black	3.287	155	4	3	2	1.56	16	11	117
113	LA Premier FC	3.25	97	1	2	0	1	4	5	99	CSL Silver-Elite North
114	Strikers FC North Black	3.223	169	1	3	1	0.8	12	11	135	SCSDL Flight 1
115	Spartans FC	3.198	199	6	2	0	2.25	27	8	123	CSL Silver South
116	Encinitas Express Premier	3.193	114	2	2	4	1.25	4	5	107	SCSDL Flight 2
117	SDSC Orange	3.192	171	7	3	2	1.92	17	9	118
118	Irvine Slammers FC EGSL Winn	3.17	79	0	2	2	0.5	2	5	110	SCSDL Flight 2
119	Anaheim Surf	3.165	25	1	8	0	0.33	5	22	129	SCSDL Flight 1
120	West Coast FC Murphy	3.148	46	0	2	1	0.33	2	7	127	SCSDL Flight 2
121	Claremont Stars Black	3.1	72	0	2	1	0.33	1	3	130	CSL Silver-Elite South
122	South Slammers FC Vaught	3.06	113	2	4	1	1	9	11	133	SCSDL Flight 2
123	Thousand Oaks FC Challenge	2.97	87	2	4	1	1	10	16	128	CSL Bronze Beta
124	Legacy United	2.914	159	2	2	0	1.5	8	7	124	CSL Bronze Alpha
125	FC Premier Burrola Blue	2.904	98	3	7	1	0.91	13	20	119	SCSDL Flight 2
126	Vaqueros Drummond	2.888	110	2	2	0	1.5	5	7	125
127	Express Premier II Briaan	2.84	85	0	1	2	0.67	1	4	122
128	Temecula United	2.834	105	0	4	2	0.33	4	10	132
129	FC Golden State OC	2.8	151	4	3	1	1.63	10	8	112	CSL Silver South
130	Murrieta Surf Black	2.785	86	6	8	6	1.2	11	28	158	SCSDL Flight 3
131	Albion SC - OC White	2.736	146	2	4	0	1	14	15	196	CSL Bronze South
132	HDYSL Rage FC	2.715	156	1	2	0	1	3	3	145	CSL Bronze Delta
133	Crown City United	2.679	175	1	0	2	1.67	1	0	137	CSL Silver North
134	Notts Forest Black	2.654	134	2	2	2	1.33	5	7	135
135	Nado - Ruiz	2.648	132	4	5	1	1.3	13	17	144
136	FC Heat Blue	2.622	162	1	2	0	1	4	4	121
137	South Slammers FC Black	2.604	77	2	3	1	1.17	5	13	134	SCSDL Flight 2
138	California Odyssey South Black	2.595	69	1	1	0	1.5	5	8	141
139	Fullerton Rangers Blue	2.57	163	5	3	1	1.78	16	14	149	CSL Silver South
140	Pateadores Laguna	2.555	168	1	1	2	1.25	8	8	195	SCSDL Flight 3
141	Arsenal FC Arroyave	2.522	100	1	2	0	1	2	5	137	SCSDL Flight 3
142	Barcelona California Red	2.488	20	0	2	1	0.33	3	11	139	CSL Bronze Gamma
143	AC Brea Red	2.424	153	3	3	0	1.5	11	13	153	CSL Silver South
144	South Bay Matrix	2.407	133	5	8	0	1.15	22	33	131
145	San Clemente Surf	2.364	80	0	2	0	0	1	4	147	SCSDL Flight 3
146	Notts Forest FC Red	2.347	40	6	3	4	1.69	19	10	42
147	LA Galaxy CVU	2.341	17	0	2	1	0.33	1	10	155
148	Fram Taylor	2.266	95	1	2	0	1	3	7	150	CSL Bronze West
149	OC Premier Black	2.242	193	2	0	1	2.33	4	2	136	CSL Bronze South
150	Matrix Elite	2.12	49	0	3	0	0	3	10	140
151	Arsenal FC LA EGSL Gonsalves	2.084	14	0	6	0	0	1	21	152	SCSDL Flight 2
152	CFA San Clemente Real SC	2.074	143	1	6	0	0.43	6	12	143	SCSDL Flight 2
153	California Elite	2.064	197	5	2	1	2	15	10	174	CSL Silver North
154	OUSL Crusaders FC	2	198	2	0	0	3	5	3	165	CSL Bronze Alpha
155	Valencia United Challenge	1.974	161	2	4	3	1	12	18	164	CSL Bronze North
156	Claremont Stars 5 V Two	1.967	93	0	3	0	0	0	5	167	CSL Silver-Elite South
157	Poway Vaqueros	1.906	187	3	2	4	1.44	11	12	179
158	Encinitas Express Premier II	1.887	78	0	1	2	0.67	1	5	166
159	Madrid Premier North	1.822	130	2	2	0	1.5	11	16	146	CSL Bronze Alpha
160	PDSC	1.752	179	1	2	1	1	5	7	126
161	DMCV Sharks Borowinski	1.745	59	0	6	3	0.33	3	26	161
162	Greater Long Beach - Mamnoon	1.729	131	2	4	0	1	4	12	138	CSL Silver-Elite North
163	Beach FC Pineda	1.708	118	3	6	2	1	10	27	169	SCSDL Flight 3
164	DMCV Sharks Arnesen	1.707	178	2	4	2	1	10	14	160
165	Valencia United	1.551	181	1	2	0	1	3	5	171
166	Irvine Slammers FC White Salter	1.533	186	2	3	1	1.17	7	10	175	SCSDL Flight 2
167	Cardiff Mustangs	1.533	135	0	4	2	0.33	3	12	168
168	Saugus United - AC	1.513	84	0	3	0	0	3	10	NA	CSL Bronze North
169	SDSC White	1.468	147	3	7	3	0.92	6	22	173
170	Pateadores Irvine Blue	1.426	166	3	4	0	1.29	7	15	148	SCSDL Flight 2
171	Pateadores Newport Blue	1.425	123	1	6	0	0.43	3	14	163	SCSDL Flight 2
172	Manchester United	1.324	68	0	3	1	0.25	1	12	181
173	Pacific SC Huntington Beach	1.238	129	0	2	1	0.33	0	6	172	CSL Bronze South
174	San Luis Obispo Storm	1.207	34	0	3	0	0	0	11	176	CSL Silver Alpha
175	CDA Slammers Yorba Linda Jimenez	1.2	182	3	4	0	1.29	9	16	198	SCSDL Flight 2
176	CVSC Aftershock	1.176	103	1	5	0	0.5	6	20	170	CSL Silver Alpha
177	CDA Slammers Fullerton Toledo	1.175	122	0	3	0	0	0	6	177	SCSDL Flight 3
178	Tierra Santa Matrix	1.062	196	2	1	0	2	4	4	185
179	IE Surf Corona	1.042	170	2	6	0	0.75	8	20	191	CSL Bronze East
180	Rebels White	1.022	154	1	8	2	0.45	5	24	182
181	Arsenal FC West White Diaz	0.769	71	0	3	0	0	1	11	160	SCSDL Flight 3
182	Barca Cantera Red	0.708	126	1	6	2	0.56	4	26	193
183	Celtic Harps	0.648	117	2	9	0	0.55	10	38	194	CSL Silver South
184	Oceanside Breakers Blue	0.492	200	3	0	0	3	8	2	177
185	Chula Vista Futbol	0.419	172	3	7	1	0.91	10	35	176
186	LA Premier FC Black	0.063	42	0	5	1	0.17	2	29	190	CSL Bronze Central
187	Pateadores - IER	0	36	0	0	0	0	0	0	100	SCSDL Flight 2
187	CZ Elite Quesada	0	48	0	0	0	0	0	0	122	SCSDL Flight 2
189	CVSC - Santa Clarita	-0.016	141	1	2	0	1	1	11	161	SCSDL Flight 3
190	Hawks Black	-0.036	102	0	3	0	0	2	13	197
191	Santa Monica United Blue	-0.037	115	1	3	0	0.75	5	19	169	CSL Bronze West
192	Matrix San Elijo	-0.05	111	0	2	1	0.33	0	10	170
193	Orange County Premier Black	-0.08	164	1	2	0	1	2	10	175	CSL Bronze South
194	Slammers FC Maroon Todorovic	-0.836	45	1	2	0	1	2	16	62	SCSDL Flight 2
195	TVSA Kuramoto	-0.933	70	0	2	1	0.33	1	16	127
196	Strikers FC Mission Viejo Townson	-1.005	107	0	4	0	0	5	23	178	SCSDL Flight 3
197	International FC Fuego	-1.162	55	0	4	0	0	1	23	147	CSL Bronze West
198	Inland United Manchester United	-1.301	56	0	3	0	0	0	17	139
199	Fram	-2.829	1	0	2	0	0	0	19	NA	CSL Silver-Elite North
200	San Diego United Black	-3.018	137	0	10	1	0.09	5	44	NA