Monday, August 22, 2016

CAS G05 Youth Soccer Rankings (1)

Due to the birth year age group change previous youth soccer rankings are no longer any good. I am attempting to build a realistic ranking model that eventually tournaments can use to help seed teams. The methodology uses the excel solver and a "best fit" algorithm that takes as input scores from all tournaments and league play to then come up with a "strength" number for each team. The difference in strength numbers tells you how many more goals better one team is than another. Due to small sample sizes early in the season there will be a few strange rankings. As more games are played things will look more normal. Teams improve their ranking by winning by more than the expected goal differential or losing by less than the expected differential (basically doing better than expected). Teams move down in the rankings by doing the opposite. I have done this for the G04 rankings and I now have a volunteer who is keeping track of all the G05 scores so I can post rankings for this age group too. We have tried to minimize mistakes (we are hand inputting scores from tournament websites) which is hard to do due to teams being listed with slightly different names in each tournament. I will only list the top 200 teams. The SRS column tells how strong your team is compared to other teams. Only games played between Cal South teams are considered. In order to include Cal North or games/teams from other regions you would need to include all teams from those regions to make rankings accurate and that is not a task I am will to take on.

New: The SoS column stands for "Strength of Schedule". This column is sorted by which team has the toughest strength of schedule. You can tell which teams are playing the toughest schedules and which teams are scheduling pansies.

CAS Girls 2005 Soccer Rankings (as of August 22, 2016) Rev 1
RankTeamRatingRank SoSWLTGFGALeague
1LAGSB 2005 Elite9.97791820938SCSDL Flight 1
2SD Surf EGSL Academy 20059.45111110429SCSDL Flight 1
3So Cal Blues 2005 Draluck8.7181012205311SCSDL Flight 1
4Strikers FC - OC 2005 Egsl8.526510237SCSDL Flight 1
5Eagles8.117401011575CSL Silver-Elite South
6Beach FC - LB White-R.Perez7.632413425018SCSDL Flight 1
7LAGSD G05 Elite-Gurley7.3452212405214CSL Silver-Elite South
8So Cal Blues - 2005 Kale6.887930229SCSDL Flight 1
9IE SURF G05 PREMIER RB6.703128422813CSL Silver-Elite South
10TFA S.E. LA 6.3913316316821CSL Silver-Elite South
11Legends FC 056.2791415453113SCSDL Flight 1
12REBELS GOLD 20056.1443023248331SDDA Flight 1
13SD Surf Academy Girls (Barclay) 20055.95236511414SCSDL Flight 1
14Santa Monica Utd G055.79766800283CSL Silver North
15CDA Slammers FC - HB G05 GATH5.791137823128SCSDL Flight 1
16Irvine Slammers FC G05 EGSL Winn5.71158613026SCSDL Flight 1
17Arsenal FC San Diego GU12 Elite5.6175512018SCSDL Flight 1
18DMCV Sharks G2005 - Mac Millan5.586391122314SDDA Flight 1
19Crown City United G055.52835640238CSL Silver-Elite South
20LA United FA G2005 White5.47795801310SCSDL Flight 2
21CCU SoCal Academy G055.249265512215CSL Silver-Elite South
22CDA Slammers FC - Cerritos G05 Segovia5.175289533220SCSDL Flight 1
23Murrieta Surf G05 White5.0872311853834SCSDL Flight 1
24Beach FC - SB G05 Parker5.009195511418SCSDL Flight 1
25Legends FC South G055.007831031527SCSDL Flight 1
26Slammers FC G20054.93958610184SCSDL Flight 1
27FC Golden State - 2005 PDA East4.87922134831CSL Silver-Elite South
28LAGSD G05 Premier II-Bouchereau4.86249822827SCSDL Flight 1
29Hotspurs USA - G2005 Premier4.845437333520SDDA Flight 1
30Oceanside Breakers -G05 Blk4.734113831427SDDA Flight 1
31BYSC Corona United G054.6885251515CSL Silver-Elite South
32Albion SC - OC White G054.659107911409CSL Silver South
33Real So Cal G05 White4.585327512215SCSDL Flight 1
34Anaheim Surf Soccer Club G2005 Sanchez4.4221602103SCSDL Flight 1
35Albion SC G05 Academy4.3642141142034SDDA Flight 1
36San Diego SC G2005 Academy Navy4.271182521121SDDA Flight 1
37FRAM G05-Hernandez4.1645714856635CSL Silver-Elite South
38Pateadores G2005 RSM4.0247211403714SCSDL Flight 2
39LAGSD G05 Gold-Walker4.02758313112SDDA Flight 2
40Jurupa FC4.014126300102 
41Freedom FC G-053.9921291721626SCSDL Flight 2
42Beach FC - LB G05 A.Perez(Calatroni)3.9764710934634SCSDL Flight 2
43Coastal Valley Impact G053.957149701293CSL Bronze Alpha
44DMCV Sharks G2005 - Favor3.9525231510SDDA Flight 2
45Slammers FC G2005 Maroon - Tamiko3.947384421211SCSDL Flight 2
46Express Girls 2005 Premier - Newman3.916426432523SDDA Flight 1
47REBELS - G05 Blue - HUGO3.896546722818SDDA Flight 2
48Strikers FC - OC 2005 Black3.872125801286SCSDL Flight 1
49Oxnard PAL SC G123.863168911476CSL Bronze Beta
50IE Surf G05 Battista3.86168611166CSL Silver South
51Albion SC South - G05 Academy3.85536121434347SDDA Flight 2
52OC Premier G05 Orange3.76935322710CSL Silver-Elite South
53JUSA LEGENDS3.759902108 
54LAGSB Girls 2005 Gold3.6083114259SCSDL Flight 2
55CDA Slammers FC - Tustin G05 EGSL Aviles3.508295701526SCSDL Flight 1
56Fallbrook Villa F.C. 20053.491194700322Presidio AA-A
57Legends FC Gold 053.353344932536SCSDL Flight 2
58Canyon FC G05 Nagengast3.2959421183CSL Silver South
59FC Valencia G20053.229718432211SCSDL Flight 2
60West Coast FC G05 Pre-ECNL3.208648803830SCSDL Flight 1
61Pateadores - HB G2005 Blue3.11141240913SCSDL Flight 2
62Beach FC - SB G05 Fisher3.0991007512914SCSDL Flight 2
63So Cal Blues 2005 Kale - Otto3.0971187613816SCSDL Flight 2
64Fullerton Rangers G05 White2.993748302418CSL Silver South
65Central Coast Condors G052.943175301175CSL Bronze Alpha
66Cardiff Mustangs - G05 Red Clare2.91767442129SDDA Flight 2
67Pateadores - IER G05 BAILLIE2.852777432216SCSDL Flight 2
68Central CA Aztecs G20052.841150421205CSL Bronze North
69Laguna United FC 2005 Blue (Dynamite)2.794987322212SCSDL Flight 2
70Palm Desert SC G052.726826101714CSL Silver South
71South Slammers FC G052.671143622245SCSDL Flight 2
72APPLE VALLEY STORM2.655012158CSL Bronze East
73Oxnard United SC2.6461227313118CSL Silver North
74Scripps United - G2005 Red2.639615511314SDDA Flight 2
75IE SURF G05 PARK2.6361127302213CSL Silver South
76Poway Vaqueros Academy - G05 M.Willrich2.609879712921Presidio AAA
77SLOSC Storm G052.54510411142CSL Silver North
78Beach FC - SB G05 Fisher B2.43310110121SCSDL Flight 3
79Strikers FC - North G05 IA2.3755212014SCSDL Flight 2
80Pateadores-PYL G2005 Blue2.3348111022SCSDL Flight 3
81Santa Barbara SC White2.2168512133CSL Silver North
82NOTTS FOREST 2005 RED2.1591096231410Presidio AA-C South
83Kickers SC G052.12592541926CSL Bronze Alpha
84Sand and Surf SC G2005 Black2.07114424106SCSDL Flight 2
85Westside Breakers 05 Blue2.039603701522SCSDL Flight 3
86West Coast FC G05 Filipovic2.022978932726SCSDL Flight 2
87La Mirada SA G05279400121CSL Bronze South
88LA Premier FC1.97843781520CSL Silver-Elite South
89FRYSC SIGNATURE G051.957822043 
90Simi Valley Eclipse1.924155411146CSL Bronze Gamma
91JUSA SIGNATURE CRUSH1.96902104 
92VC Fusion 20051.89755241918CSL Silver North
93TEAM USA G05-061.8911035422121CSL Silver North
94Real So Cal G05 Blue1.85549272926SCSDL Flight 2
95Strikers FC - SB G2005 - White1.8370241510SCSDL Flight 2
96Real So Cal - SCV G2005W - Salvadori1.8148274425SCSDL Flight 2
97FC Golden State PDA - ESPEJEL1.7947314126CSL Silver South
98Canyon Hills United S A 051.678177310114 
99Beach FC - SB G05 K.Pineda1.6561114421112SCSDL Flight 2
100La Jolla IMPACT - G2005 Blue Painter1.651196351917SDDA Flight 2
101Matrix G05 SE Wht FABRICE1.6471348602819Presidio AA-A
102SD Surf Academy Girls (Brookfield) 20051.6321306312823SCSDL Flight 2
103OVC - G2005 (Gigante)1.6625831634Presidio AAA
104West Coast Elite FC Black1.58720210314CSL Silver North
105Sporting SD - G2005 - Anthony/Neil Saffer1.5211085721721SDDA Flight 2
106Express Girls 2005 Select - Full1.4551469312819Presidio AA-B North
107West Coast FC G05 Swanson1.39151361828SCSDL Flight 2
108Pateadores G05 MV1.352764541428SCSDL Flight 2
109Legends FC - East Corona G051.281153811822SCSDL Flight 2
110Corona/Extra1.24213811187 
111LEON1.2421832221910UNKNOWN
112SD United G/2005 Black1.2281334231412Presidio AAA
113Nado - G20051.216165622166Presidio AA-A
114FC Premier G2005 - Napalan1.2121313611312SCSDL Flight 2
115San Marcos United - G20051.208176722239Presidio AA-A
116LAGSD G05 White-Cacioppo1.1861919333710Presidio AA-A
117Futbol Foundation SC1.1631565522518CSL Bronze North
118LA United FA G2005 Red1.151124241911SCSDL Flight 3
119PYSL Blast SC - Ghio G20051.14713623154Presidio AAA
120IE Surf G05 HF West1.0951634422315CSL Silver-Elite South
121Newcastle United G20051.07102241612CSL Bronze Delta
122Matrix G05 EC1.029196620237Presidio AA-B South
123Simi Valley Premier Green0.9861414402019CSL Bronze Gamma
124Slammers FC G2005 White0.97263260822SCSDL Flight 3
125Legends FC G05 Black0.965371101843SCSDL Flight 3
126FC Premier G2005 - Black Burrola0.9511408813231SCSDL Flight 2
127LAGSB Girls 2005 Navy0.93161223128SCSDL Flight 2
128LA Galaxy CV G05 Blue0.911193120105CSL Bronze Beta
129TVHSC Girls 2005 Black0.86216921174SCSDL Flight 3
130San Diego SC G2005 White0.85713591122427Presidio AA-B North
131Hurricanes G050.772199310101Presidio AA-C North
132LA Galaxy CV G05 Red0.69912322058CSL Bronze Gamma
133Matrix G05 SE Blu PARISE0.6071588922421Presidio AAA
134CDA Slammers FC - Whittier G05 Carroll0.579181420116SCSDL Flight 2
135YASC SPARTANS FC G050.57492231615CSL Silver South
136Albion SC G05 Premier0.5051515741720Presidio AA-A
137Express Girls 2005 Select - Gutierrez0.47518232294Presidio AA-B North
138Legacy United SC G050.45483131615CSL Bronze Alpha
139TVHSC Girls 2005 Academy0.44214223146SCSDL Flight 2
140Beach FC - SB G05 Hansen0.41865070420SCSDL Flight 3
141FC Long Beach G05 Blue0.39613912135CSL Bronze South
142Hotspurs USA - G2005 White0.356189403115Presidio AA-B South
143Westside Breakers 05 White0.32344120414SCSDL Flight 2
144LIVERPOOL SC G05 - RED0.31318510613423Presidio AA-B South
145CA Football Academy-San Clemente G05 Hadwick0.261113160212SCSDL Flight 3
146Coastal Valley Flash SB0.13286021511CSL Bronze Alpha
147Temecula United - G2005L0.123195920186Presidio AA-B North
148Barca Cantera Johny 05 RED0.0581809412319Presidio AA-B South
149MVSC Legacy0.05414712035CSL Bronze South
150LA Galaxy Bakersfield G050.0216011134CSL Bronze North
151LAGSB Girls 2005 White0.008153353916SCSDL Flight 3
152Mamba FC G 05/06017300000CSL Bronze South
153CSC G-2005 Red-0.0111793341211Presidio AA-B South
154REIGN FC-0.07153030010 
155Santa Monica Utd G05 Blue-0.07220020041CSL Bronze West
156Arsenal FC - LA G05 FC Mejia-0.1219821062SCSDL Flight 3
157International FC G05 Shah-0.13418741174CSL Bronze West
158RSF Attack G05 Green-0.153121062114Presidio AA-A
159Rebels Soccer Club - G05 White-0.1591272841434Presidio AA-A
160Irvine Slammers FC G05 WHITE - Watson**-0.1931203601126SCSDL Flight 2
161Vista Storm SC - G2005 Black-0.2831642521217Presidio AA-B North
162LAGSD G05 White-Bedford-0.309144382620Presidio AA-C North
163CDA Slammers FC - Tustin G05 Flor-0.33917411134SCSDL Flight 2
164PYSL Blast SC -Turner G2005-0.3811701551419Presidio AA-C North
165CDA Slammers FC - Fullerton G2005 Bautista-0.38346051326SCSDL Flight 2
166San Clemente Surf G05-0.4241721441115SCSDL Flight 3
167Matrix G05 ST - MATTES-0.43418634388Presidio AA-C South
168FC Camarillo - AC-0.45911702015CSL Bronze Gamma
169AV United - AC-0.46310502107CSL Bronze North
170Murrieta Surf G05 Blue-0.481372731229SCSDL Flight 3
171Greater LB Impact-0.51456060022CSL Bronze West
172Arsenal FC SD G05 Elite II- E. Ocampo-0.52519022066SDDA Flight 2
173Oceanside Breakers -G05 Blu-0.849159165621Presidio AA-B North
174Sporting SD - G2005 - Patrick Yeatts-0.8661927812933Presidio AA-C South
175San Diego SC G2005 Orange-0.902962111748SDDA Flight 2
176CDA Slammers FC - YL G05 Huie/Carillo-0.959148141717SCSDL Flight 2
177Oxnard Wave SC-1.0227040123CSL Bronze Beta
178Valencia United - AC-1.152106030211CSL Bronze North
179AC Brea G05 Red-1.244128141318CSL Bronze South
180Granada United G05-1.24891021010CSL Bronze Gamma
181DMCV Sharks G2005 - Hammond-1.33890270435SDDA Flight 2
182VC Fusion G2005-1-1.53619711034CSL Bronze Beta
183Culver City FC G05-1.588116051120CSL Bronze West
184Newbury Park SC Vipers-1.81918812059CSL Bronze Gamma
185YASC Spartans FC G05 Blk-2.004166141720CSL Bronze East
186FC Heat G2005-2.023178261421Presidio AA-C North
187FRAM Scachetti-2.03488060126CSL Bronze West
188Bonita Matrix Gold Koch-2.123171290529Presidio AA-A
189ARSENAL FC - 2005 DINGLE-2.278184120410 
190CDA Slammers FC - HB G05 Reyes/Lopez-2.51445060137SCSDL Flight 2
191IE Surf G05 Ficke-3.028154180336CSL Bronze East
192AVFC-3.30580030118CSL Bronze North
193Beach FC - LB G05 Albeno-3.324152030012SCSDL Flight 3
194Irvine Slammers FC - G05 Black Niccole**-3.401145150227SCSDL Flight 3
195Crescenta Valley SC - SCV G05-3.477162042427SCSDL Flight 3
196FC England G05-3.621132030115CSL Bronze West
197San Diego SC G2005 Black-3.992157081142Presidio AA-C South
198Madrid Premier G05C-4.911110030222CSL Bronze Alpha
199FFSC WHITE-5.01289061151CSL Bronze East
200LA Galaxy CV G05 White-6.019167060239CSL Bronze Beta

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

CAS G04 Youth Soccer Rankings (3)

These are the Cal South Girls 2004 Birth Year rankings as calculated by Excel Solver using a best fit algorithm to match up team strength ratings with actual tournament and league play results. In this the third iteration of these rankings, I have cleaned up a few more games from clubs that have multiple teams (on going process). I have also added the league and level that each team is playing in to the best of my ability. The rankings are for the top 200 teams (solver limitation), there are almost another 100 teams that are unranked due to either poor results or not having played any tournaments yet. I started collecting scores in mid May, so if you see something off in the number of games your team has played please PM me and I can work on correcting any mistakes.

CAS Girls 2004 Soccer Rankings (as of August 16, 2016)
RankTeamRatingRank SoSWLTGFGALeagueRank 1Rank 2
1SD Surf EGSL Academy8.17612611173SCSDL Flight 112
2CDA Slammers FC Cerritos Macias8.15651121286SCSDL Flight 141
3DMCV Sharks Toumi8.02755801321SDDA Flight 1211
4IE Surf Premier RB7.73916511143CSL Gold1613
5Arsenal FC Pre ECNL Brown7.64215912287SCSDL Flight 174
6West Coast FC Pre-ECNL Swanson7.5569542239SCSDL Flight 13626
7Beach FC LB Arrache7.472422117SCSDL Flight 158
8Real SoCal EGSL7.404171031299SCSDL Flight 135
9LA Galaxy SD Elite7.364452194CSL Gold87
10LA Galaxy South Bay Elite7.1166531169SCSDL Flight 11212
11Strikers FC - OC EGSL Bull6.94449310134SCSDL Flight 11314
12Fullerton Rangers White6.932607133710CSL Gold63
13Rebels Gold6.7752513344116SDDA Flight 11420
14Real SoCal - SCV White Salvadori6.716538323811SCSDL Flight 11110
15Slammers FC Pre ECNL Winn6.63933933299SCSDL Flight 12355
16SD Surf Academy Condliffe6.5532822166SCSDL Flight 11718
17Eagles6.522732189CSL Gold4517
18CDA Slammers FC - Yorba Linda EGSL Huie6.512198422010SCSDL Flight 14657
19Notts Forest FC Red6.4653910353814SDDA Flight 14236
20SO Cal Blues Dido6.4463232711SCSDL Flight 12921
21CCU SoCal Academy6.39964921317CSL Gold99
22Pateadores Irvine6.37922431148SCSDL Flight 17237
23Real SoCal White6.318325412212SCSDL Flight 1106
24MVSC Legacy6.249163310172CSL Bronze South1515
25NHB FC Black6.213679344918CSL Silver South2733
26CDA Slammers FC - HB Elite EGSL Gimenez6.17261721268SCSDL Flight 12622
27Arsenal FC West EGSL Aguirre6.1351411022SCSDL Flight 24747
28SO Cal Blues Kale6.10626640189SCSDL Flight 13929
29Beach FC - SB Gouveia6.07323532127SCSDL Flight 13328
30Legacy Valdez5.9578301102CSL Silver South3234
31SDSC Navy Academy5.826307642416SCSDL Flight 22219
32Albion SC Academy5.81184441313CSL Gold5550
33Legends FC5.76110355914SCSDL Flight 14843
34CDA Slammers FC Cerritos Segovia5.741215551716SCSDL Flight 16253
35UIFC Venom5.689154621314CSL Silver-Elite4940
36Freedom FC5.67754721143SCSDL Flight 22123
37Arsenal FC San Diego EGSL Ocampo5.635722459SCSDL Flight 13754
38CZ Elite Quesada5.614621174SCSDL Flight 2122188
39Kickers5.59188900385CSL Silver Alpha1938
40Albion Premier5.568104411133SDDA Flight 22025
41Legends FC - East Riverside5.524389502318SCSDL Flight 15042
42Beach FC - Long Beach Nunes5.4776310222914SCSDL Flight 24146
43OC Premier Orange5.44148731179CSL Silver-Elite South3544
44Murrieta Surf White Davison5.393296561313SCSDL Flight 1NANA
45IE Surf MB/SB West5.37711241912CSL Silver-Elite South5445
46Strikers FC South Coast - Alvarez5.3688282922SCSDL Flight 24352
47South Valley Thunder Villa5.26650421128CSL Silver North2435
48Legacy FC Diamond Bar5.26459623166CSL Silver South5151
49Strikers FC North Flores5.2561268303411SCSDL Flight 23131
50Real SoCal Black5.247161311156SCSDL Flight 24032
51Soccer Life Academy5.1881065112210SCSDL Flight 26048
52Oxnard United5.1731101022348CSL Silver Alpha5249
53Westside Breakers White5.16556221118SCSDL Flight 14241
54Futbol Foundation5.133135412205CSL Silver North2824
55Oceanside Breakers Black5.1084431087CSL Gold3460
56LA Galaxy SD Premier Eckerlin5.073373621819SDDA Flight 16676
57FC Premier Burrola Black4.9481019503116SCSDL Flight 26158
58Legends FC South White Luff4.94834354610SCSDL Flight 110282
59La Mirada FC4.8267521141CSL Bronze Central5761
60Westside Breakers Blue4.81107415195SCSDL Flight 24499
61Arsenal FC South Hollis4.816213025SCSDL Flight 27167
62Arsenal FC - SCV4.802765311710SCSDL Flight 25959
63Arsenal South4.8200300130SCSDL Flight 21816
64Temecula Valley Hawks Academy4.7621084212513SCSDL Flight 23027
65Hotspurs Premier4.7693415143SDDA Flight 26966
66CDA Slammers Tustin Pre ECNL Aviles4.7149120493SCSDL Flight 16368
67Vista Storm Black4.69483644219Presidio AAA6070
68Strikers FC South Coast Black Martinez4.6825742176SCSDL Flight 28784
69San Marcos Revolution Green Munoz4.675130921SDDA Flight 2NANA
70Beach FC SB Fisher4.667735401611SCSDL Flight 26463
71Encinitas Express Premier Gutierrez4.64469434138SCSDL Flight 2107116
72IE Surf West Fraschetti4.5061276533617CSL Silver-Elite South3839
73FC Premier Cypress Stamps4.40614513203411SCSDL Flight 36881
74Legends East Corona4.359195301153SCSDL Flight 38871
75Arsenal FC LA Guzman4.3552002115SCSDL Flight 2100104
76Simi Valley Eclipse4.297854521315CSL Silver-Elite North7564
77Legends FC Gold4.2888913277SCSDL Flight 26780
78Anaheim Surf4.2713180522SCSDL Flight 1129119
79FC Premier Los Al Salazar4.243875331914SCSDL Flight 29387
80Bonita Matrix4.24119115517823Presidio AAA7369
81FC Premier Maisterra4.238149831258SCSDL Flight 215386
82LA Galaxy South Bay Gold Gutierrez4.225189210125SCSDL Flight 2NA79
83IE Surf Lara4.203184703232CSL Silver South9283
84Claremont Stars 5 V Two4.1814015139CSL Silver-Elite South167156
85Rebels Blue4.16715012464514SDDA Flight 27678
86SC Antelope4.0831366222312CSL Silver North8165
87Santa Monica United4.0566523157CSL Silver-Elite North9090
88Murrieta Surf Blue Uribe4.05418312314312SCSDL Flight 27773
89Coachella Valley Desert Storm4.03590221109CSL Silver-Elite South10395
90Pateadores Long Beach Blue4.0291744202212SCSDL Flight 311397
91Claremont Stars Black4.00431042311CSL Silver-Elite South130121
92Dynamo ECSC3.973180521224Presidio AA-B8577
93Liverpool Red Trask3.9681649423311SDDA Flight 210498
94Santee Matrix Kennel3.959181310132Presidio AAA10185
95LA Galaxy SD White Buelna3.92196911335Presidio AAA8472
96Eagles White3.881145431814CSL Silver Alpha9791
97West Coast Futbol Filipovic3.8741115542918SCSDL Flight 211488
98Oxnard Wave3.8431164211915CSL Bronze Beta8274
99South Bay United3.84110311187CSL Bronze West167103
100South Slammers FC Vaught3.721113241911SCSDL Flight 2133122
101BYSC Corona United3.66168146814CSL Gold109108
102Albion SC - OC White3.621826403217CSL Bronze South196131
103Rialto Fire SC3.59515911152CSL Bronze Delta18689
104Scripps United3.58192610163Presidio AA-B7094
105Sol3.57413711111CSL Bronze AlphaNANA
106Slammers FC EGSL Brooks3.55535262724SCSDL Flight 17996
107FC Long Beach Blue Saldana3.5331623211610178NA
108Matrix Elite Trujillo3.5137471202944SDDA Flight 1140150
109LA Galaxy South Bay Navy3.512147432137SCSDL Flight 2106109
110California Football Academy Jaussi3.5031413131915SCSDL Flight 27462
111Arsenal FC North Brown 23.4837223159SCSDL Flight 29192
112Sand And Surf Black3.3851484321611SCSDL Flight 2117112
113Hollywood FC3.357158310129CSL Silver-Elite North108102
114SD Surf Academy Velloso3.25282251415SCSDL Flight 210593
115Pateadores PYL Blue3.22243150515SCSDL Flight 294100
116South Slammers FC Black3.20958231513SCSDL Flight 2134137
117LA Premier FC3.20610012045CSL Silver-Elite North99113
118Irvine Slammers FC EGSL Winn3.2017702225SCSDL Flight 2110118
119OVC - Martinez3.1721346482219SDDA Flight 2111107
120Strikers FC North Black3.151391311211SCSDL Flight 1135114
121Spartans FC3.149199620278CSL Silver South123115
122Poway Vaqueros Drummond3.1389422057Presidio AAA125126
123VFC Strikers3.12411811464CSL Silver Alpha183NA
124La Jolla Impact3.1131606743728SDDA Flight 2120110
125FC Premier Burrola Blue3.1011223711320SCSDL Flight 2119125
126Celtic St. Patrick3.09313122066CSL Bronze East199111
127Fullerton Rangers Blue2.9251326511719CSL Silver South149139
128Irvine Slammers FC White Salter2.923140231710SCSDL Flight 2175166
129West Coast FC Murphy2.83941042417SCSDL Flight 2127120
130Nado - Ruiz2.8181334511317Presidio AAA144135
131California Elite2.7621866312012CSL Silver North174153
132Legacy United2.73316622087CSL Bronze Alpha124124
133Valencia United Challenge2.7021122541421CSL Bronze North164155
134Pateadores Laguna2.715311288SCSDL Flight 3195140
135SDSC Orange2.6821788432216SDDA Flight 2118117
136Spartans FC Black2.5519721084CSL Bronze East8675
137Strikers OC Red2.47316532177SCSDL Flight 295106
138FC Golden State OC2.43151352912CSL Silver South112129
139FC Heat Blue2.42517012044Presidio AA-B121136
140AC Brea Red2.415123230812CSL Silver South153143
141Encinitas Express Premier II Oostinga2.41270045622SDDA Flight 2122127
142Thousand Oaks FC Challenge2.3991192411016CSL Bronze Beta128123
143Notts Forest Black2.38615222257Presidio AAA135134
144Greater Long Beach - Mamnoon2.38192240412CSL Silver-Elite North138162
145Temecula United2.3361021621016SDDA Flight 2132128
146LA Galaxy SD Gold - Tarrant2.3031293611321SDDA Flight 2156NA
147OC Premier Black2.23819320142CSL Bronze South136149
148Arsenal FC LA EGSL Gonsalves2.23324060121SCSDL Flight 2152151
149Palm Desert SC2.19311512157CSL Silver SouthNANA
150Barcelona California Red2.16545021311CSL Bronze Gamma139142
151Madrid Premier North2.1381092201116CSL Bronze Alpha146159
152BYSC Corona United White2.10681032211CSL Bronze CentralNANA
153Pateadores Irvine Blue2.039125340715SCSDL Flight 2148170
154OUSL Crusaders FC219820053CSL Bronze Alpha165154
155Pateadores - IER1.9387902128SCSDL Flight 2100187
156PYSL Blast SC - Evenson1.93884352625Presidio AAA89101
157Beach FC Pineda1.9211053621027SCSDL Flight 3169163
158Saugus United - AC1.88971030310CSL Bronze NorthNA168
159LA Galaxy CVU1.87142021110CSL Silver North155147
160HDYSL Rage FC1.84719012033CSL Bronze Delta145132
161Arsenal FC Arroyave1.81714412025SCSDL Flight 3137141
162DMCV Sharks Arnesen1.7831692421014Presidio AA-B160164
163Fram Taylor1.55914312037CSL Bronze West150148
164CVSC Aftershock1.49997150620CSL Silver Alpha170176
165Cardiff Mustangs Reza1.49212802127Presidio AAA168167
166San Luis Obispo Storm1.47936030011CSL Silver Alpha176174
167DMCV Sharks Borowinski1.46486063326SDDA Flight 2161161
168Arsenal FC West White Diaz1.3928002016SCSDL Flight 3160181
169CDA Slammers Yorba Linda Jimenez1.302175340916SCSDL Flight 2198175
170Valencia United Cabot1.23718712035CSL Bronze North171165
171Pacific SC Huntington Beach1.22412002106CSL Bronze South172173
172CDA Slammers Fullerton Toledo1.18812103006SCSDL Flight 3177177
173Rebels White1.044171292725Presidio AAA182180
174Santa Barbara SC White19901134CSL Silver Alpha187NA
175Barca Cantera Red0.9811762731530Presidio AA-C South193182
176SDSC White0.9761723103932Presidio AAA173169
177CVSC Sparks0.791185241615CSL Bronze Alpha189NA
178Encinitas Express Select Full0.787142240417Presidio AA-B200NA
179Celtic Harps0.6141172901038CSL Silver South194183
180Poway Vaqueros Topete0.0631945641927Presidio AA-C NorthNANA
181IE Surf Corona0.041179270624CSL Bronze East191179
182Canyon FC0.003146141629CSL Bronze CentralNANA
183LA Premier FC Black-0.02347051229CSL Bronze Central190186
184CVSC - Santa Clarita-0.026156150218SCSDL Flight 3161189
185San Marcos Revolution Coburn-0.03188120312Presidio AA-C North98105
186Santa Monica United Blue-0.03698130519CSL Bronze West169191
187Orange County Premier Black-0.058157120210CSL Bronze South175193
188Chula Vista Futbol-0.0861683711035Presidio AAA176185
189Valley United Garcia-0.1138050015CSL Silver NorthNANA
190Murrieta Surf Black-0.171177141419SCSDL Flight 3158130
191Simi Valley Premier Green-0.271173150420CSL Bronze Gamma200NA
192Inland United Manchester United-0.31466030014139198
193Temecula Valley Hawks Black-0.34696051329SCSDL Flight 3197190
194Slammers FC Maroon Todorovic-0.50751150233SCSDL Flight 262194
195International FC Fuego-0.83452040123CSL Bronze West147197
196Strikers FC Mission Viejo Townson-0.85695040523SCSDL Flight 3178196
197Santa Barbara SC Red-112400000CSL Bronze AlphaNANA
198Manchester United-1.193167030112181172
199Fram-2.3221020019CSL Silver-Elite NorthNA199
200Moorpark Express-3.682155030019CSL Bronze BetaNANA

Notes:
Rank 1 = Ranking from first rankings
Rank 2 = Ranking from second rankings (previous week)


Wednesday, August 10, 2016

CAS G04 Youth Soccer Rankings

Due to the birth year age group change previous youth soccer rankings are no longer any good. I am attempting to build a realistic ranking model that eventually tournaments can use to help seed teams. The methodology uses the excel solver and a "best fit" algorithm that takes as input scores from all tournaments and league play to then come up with a "strength" number for each team. The difference in strength numbers tells you how many more goals better one team is than another. Due to small sample sizes early in the season there will be a few strange rankings. As more games are played things will look more normal. Teams improve their ranking by winning by more than the expected goal differential or losing by less than the expected differential (basically doing better than expected). Teams move down in the rankings by doing the opposite. I have tried to minimize mistakes (I am hand inputting scores from tournament websites) which is hard to do due to teams being listed with slightly different names in each tournament. I will only list the top 200 teams. The SRS column tells how strong your team is compared to other teams. Only games played between Cal South teams are considered. I have eliminated a few duplicate teams from the previous rankings that came out and correctly assigned games to teams.

New: The SoS column stands for "Strength of Schedule". This column is sorted by which team has the toughest strength of schedule. You can tell which teams are playing the toughest schedules and which teams are scheduling pansies.

CAS Girls 2004 Soccer Rankings (as of August 10, 2016)
RankTeamSRSRank SoSWLTPTS/GameGFGAPrevious RankLeague
1CDA Slammers FC Cerritos Macias7.723811212.432864SCSDL Flight 1
2SD Surf EGSL Academy7.41496112.381731SCSDL Flight 1
3Fullerton Rangers White7.173645032.253026CSL Gold
4Arsenal FC Pre ECNL Brown7.001189122.422877SCSDL Flight 1
5Real SoCal EGSL6.962137302.12163SCSDL Flight 1
6Real SoCal White6.942285112.2920410SCSDL Flight 1
7LA Galaxy SD Elite6.88555212948CSL Gold
8Beach FC LB Arrache6.82834221.751175SCSDL Flight 1
9CCU SoCal Academy6.731636112.382059CSL Gold
10Real SoCal - SCV White Salvadori6.687607122.334711SCSDL Flight 1
11DMCV Sharks Toumi6.4771428012.783312
12LA Galaxy South Bay Elite6.455105311.7816912SCSDL Flight 1
13IE Surf Premier RB6.445325112.2914316CSL Gold
14Strikers FC - OC EGSL Bull6.416653102.2513413SCSDL Flight 1
15MVSC Legacy6.41603102.2517215CSL Bronze South
16Arsenal South6.341148400315118SCSDL Flight 2
17Eagles6.12643211.678945CSL Gold
18SD Surf Academy Condliffe6.06972211.46617SCSDL Flight 1
19SDSC Navy Academy6.0312210521.88291222SCSDL Flight 2
20Rebels Gold6.0193710232.2331114
21SO Cal Blues Dido5.95422321.1471129SCSDL Flight 1
22CDA Slammers FC - HB Elite EGSL Gimenez5.946664211.8616826SCSDL Flight 1
23Freedom FC5.887357212.214321SCSDL Flight 2
24Futbol Foundation5.7341363102.2514328CSL Silver North
25Albion Premier5.703734112.1713320
26West Coast FC Pre-ECNL Swanson5.668153321.3810736SCSDL Flight 1
27Temecula Valley Hawks Academy5.6451085202.1421830SCSDL Flight 2
28Beach FC - SB Gouveia5.64215321.712733SCSDL Flight 1
29SO Cal Blues Kale5.583386401.818939SCSDL Flight 1
30AYSO Extra Riverside United5.582162201.57634NA
31Strikers FC North Flores5.581677102.6329231SCSDL Flight 2
32RSC Black5.579144210212440
33NHB FC Black5.563836321.82331227CSL Silver South
34Legacy Valdez5.5381013012.510232CSL Silver South
35South Valley Thunder Villa5.527433102.259524CSL Silver North
36Notts Forest FC Red5.488406341.691910157
37Pateadores Irvine5.402242201.58372SCSDL Flight 1
38Kickers5.392191900338519CSL Silver Alpha
39IE Surf West Fraschetti5.3921046411.73341038CSL Silver-Elite South
40UIFC Venom5.3791746212.1131449CSL Silver-Elite
41Westside Breakers White5.312474211.86171142SCSDL Flight 1
42Legends FC - East Riverside5.242319501.93231850SCSDL Flight 1
43Legends FC5.218113551.0891448SCSDL Flight 1
44OC Premier Orange5.1750731217935CSL Silver-Elite South
45IE Surf MB/SB West5.15212241191254CSL Silver-Elite South
46Beach FC - Long Beach Nunes5.1137410222.29291441SCSDL Flight 2
47Arsenal FC West EGSL Aguirre5.102231101.52247SCSDL Flight 2
48Soccer Life Academy5.0711273012.513460SCSDL Flight 2
49Oxnard United5.0621399302.2534952CSL Silver Alpha
50Albion SC Academy5.06264441.33131355CSL Gold
51Legacy FC Diamond Bar4.986583231.57551CSL Silver South
52Strikers FC South Coast - Alvarez4.98562700.6761743SCSDL Flight 2
53CDA Slammers FC Cerritos Segovia4.982295431.5131062SCSDL Flight 1
54Arsenal FC San Diego EGSL4.873272241.255937SCSDL Flight 1
55Slammers FC Pre ECNL Winn4.75951723220723SCSDL Flight 1
56Riverside United4.758120311211378
57CDA Slammers FC - Yorba Linda EGSL Huie4.739443421.228946SCSDL Flight 1
58FC Premier Burrola Black4.735929501.93311661SCSDL Flight 2
59Arsenal FC - SCV4.734765311.78171059SCSDL Flight 2
60Oceanside Breakers Black4.572301101.53534CSL Gold
61La Mirada FC4.553892111.754157CSL Bronze Central
62California Football Academy Jaussi4.531803012.512374
63Beach FC SB Fisher4.51755401.67161164SCSDL Flight 2
64Simi Valley Eclipse4.502394401.5101175CSL Silver-Elite North
65SC Antelope4.4751287222.09271281CSL Silver North
66Hotspurs Premier4.4511163041.869169
67Arsenal FC South Hollis4.448191300.752571SCSDL Flight 2
68CDA Slammers Tustin Pre ECNL Aviles4.434811021.676163SCSDL Flight 1
69Bonita Matrix4.42718512512.06602173
70Vista Storm Black4.411903431.210660
71Legends East Corona4.2891943012.515388SCSDL Flight 3
72LA Galaxy SD White Buelna4.2721929112.5533584
73Murrieta Surf Blue Uribe4.26717712312.31431277SCSDL Flight 2
74Oxnard Wave4.249914211.86191582CSL Bronze Beta
75Spartans FC Black4.22114521028486CSL Bronze East
76LA Galaxy SD Premier Eckerlin4.168622520.89151866
77Dynamo ECSC4.157188521222485
78Rebels Blue4.13715811352401376
79LA Galaxy South Bay Gold Gutierrez4.1321902102125NASCSDL Flight 2
80Legends FC Gold4.132941320.837767SCSDL Flight 2
81FC Premier Cypress Stamps4.12916513202.6341168SCSDL Flight 3
82Legends FC South White Luff4.105523541.08610102SCSDL Flight 1
83IE Surf Lara4.0321737132.1824692CSL Silver South
84Strikers FC South Coast Black Martinez3.974884211.867687SCSDL Flight 2
85Santee Matrix3.8891953102.25132101
86FC Premier Maisterra3.8841524311.63145153SCSDL Flight 2
87FC Premier Los Al Salazar3.8461095331.64191493SCSDL Flight 2
88West Coast Futbol Filipovic3.8441405331.642610114SCSDL Flight 2
89Rialto Fire SC3.811501111.3352186CSL Bronze Delta
90Santa Monica United3.78672311.175790CSL Silver-Elite North
91Eagles White3.764995541.36181597CSL Silver Alpha
92Arsenal FC North Brown 23.724542311.175991SCSDL Flight 2
93SD Surf Academy Velloso3.70961020005105SCSDL Flight 2
94Scripps United3.6981896102.5716370
95Coachella Valley Desert Storm3.661062211.41210103CSL Silver-Elite South
96Slammers FC EGSL Brooks3.657532321.147879SCSDL Flight 1
97Pateadores Long Beach Blue3.631183210283113SCSDL Flight 3
98Liverpool Red Trask3.6221246521.541712104
99Westside Breakers Blue3.611845151.8221544SCSDL Flight 2
100Pateadores PYL Blue3.6025703002794SCSDL Flight 2
101Blast SC - Evenson3.593963221.576689
102Hollywood FC3.5791493102.25129108CSL Silver-Elite North
103South Bay United3.5431211111.3387167CSL Bronze West
104Arsenal FC LA Guzman3.542330210.3315100SCSDL Flight 2
105San Marcos Revolution3.5112511711.79312698
106Strikers OC Red3.4121384211.8610795SCSDL Flight 2
107OVC - Martinez3.411195371.471816111
108BYSC Corona United3.386821590.8815109CSL Gold
109LA Galaxy South Bay Navy3.3761574321.56137106SCSDL Flight 2
110La Jolla Impact3.3631765541.362620120
111Celtic St. Patrick3.3551122201.566199CSL Bronze East
112Sand And Surf Black3.2871554321.561611117
113LA Premier FC3.259712014599CSL Silver-Elite North
114Strikers FC North Black3.2231691310.81211135SCSDL Flight 1
115Spartans FC3.1981996202.25278123CSL Silver South
116Encinitas Express Premier3.1931142241.2545107SCSDL Flight 2
117SDSC Orange3.1921717321.92179118
118Irvine Slammers FC EGSL Winn3.17790220.525110SCSDL Flight 2
119Anaheim Surf3.165251800.33522129SCSDL Flight 1
120West Coast FC Murphy3.148460210.3327127SCSDL Flight 2
121Claremont Stars Black3.1720210.3313130CSL Silver-Elite South
122South Slammers FC Vaught3.061132411911133SCSDL Flight 2
123Thousand Oaks FC Challenge2.978724111016128CSL Bronze Beta
124Legacy United2.9141592201.587124CSL Bronze Alpha
125FC Premier Burrola Blue2.904983710.911320119SCSDL Flight 2
126Vaqueros Drummond2.8881102201.557125
127Express Premier II Briaan2.84850120.6714122
128Temecula United2.8341050420.33410132
129FC Golden State OC2.81514311.63108112CSL Silver South
130Murrieta Surf Black2.785866861.21128158SCSDL Flight 3
131Albion SC - OC White2.73614624011415196CSL Bronze South
132HDYSL Rage FC2.715156120133145CSL Bronze Delta
133Crown City United2.6791751021.6710137CSL Silver North
134Notts Forest Black2.6541342221.3357135
135Nado - Ruiz2.6481324511.31317144
136FC Heat Blue2.622162120144121
137South Slammers FC Black2.604772311.17513134SCSDL Flight 2
138California Odyssey South Black2.595691101.558141
139Fullerton Rangers Blue2.571635311.781614149CSL Silver South
140Pateadores Laguna2.5551681121.2588195SCSDL Flight 3
141Arsenal FC Arroyave2.522100120125137SCSDL Flight 3
142Barcelona California Red2.488200210.33311139CSL Bronze Gamma
143AC Brea Red2.4241533301.51113153CSL Silver South
144South Bay Matrix2.4071335801.152233131
145San Clemente Surf2.36480020014147SCSDL Flight 3
146Notts Forest FC Red2.347406341.69191042
147LA Galaxy CVU2.341170210.33110155
148Fram Taylor2.26695120137150CSL Bronze West
149OC Premier Black2.2421932012.3342136CSL Bronze South
150Matrix Elite2.12490300310140
151Arsenal FC LA EGSL Gonsalves2.084140600121152SCSDL Flight 2
152CFA San Clemente Real SC2.0741431600.43612143SCSDL Flight 2
153California Elite2.06419752121510174CSL Silver North
154OUSL Crusaders FC2198200353165CSL Bronze Alpha
155Valencia United Challenge1.97416124311218164CSL Bronze North
156Claremont Stars 5 V Two1.96793030005167CSL Silver-Elite South
157Poway Vaqueros1.9061873241.441112179
158Encinitas Express Premier II1.887780120.6715166
159Madrid Premier North1.8221302201.51116146CSL Bronze Alpha
160PDSC1.752179121157126
161DMCV Sharks Borowinski1.745590630.33326161
162Greater Long Beach - Mamnoon1.7291312401412138CSL Silver-Elite North
163Beach FC Pineda1.70811836211027169SCSDL Flight 3
164DMCV Sharks Arnesen1.70717824211014160
165Valencia United1.551181120135171
166Irvine Slammers FC White Salter1.5331862311.17710175SCSDL Flight 2
167Cardiff Mustangs1.5331350420.33312168
168Saugus United - AC1.513840300310NACSL Bronze North
169SDSC White1.4681473730.92622173
170Pateadores Irvine Blue1.4261663401.29715148SCSDL Flight 2
171Pateadores Newport Blue1.4251231600.43314163SCSDL Flight 2
172Manchester United1.324680310.25112181
173Pacific SC Huntington Beach1.2381290210.3306172CSL Bronze South
174San Luis Obispo Storm1.207340300011176CSL Silver Alpha
175CDA Slammers Yorba Linda Jimenez1.21823401.29916198SCSDL Flight 2
176CVSC Aftershock1.1761031500.5620170CSL Silver Alpha
177CDA Slammers Fullerton Toledo1.175122030006177SCSDL Flight 3
178Tierra Santa Matrix1.062196210244185
179IE Surf Corona1.0421702600.75820191CSL Bronze East
180Rebels White1.0221541820.45524182
181Arsenal FC West White Diaz0.769710300111160SCSDL Flight 3
182Barca Cantera Red0.7081261620.56426193
183Celtic Harps0.6481172900.551038194CSL Silver South
184Oceanside Breakers Blue0.492200300382177
185Chula Vista Futbol0.4191723710.911035176
186LA Premier FC Black0.063420510.17229190CSL Bronze Central
187Pateadores - IER036000000100SCSDL Flight 2
187CZ Elite Quesada048000000122SCSDL Flight 2
189CVSC - Santa Clarita-0.0161411201111161SCSDL Flight 3
190Hawks Black-0.0361020300213197
191Santa Monica United Blue-0.0371151300.75519169CSL Bronze West
192Matrix San Elijo-0.051110210.33010170
193Orange County Premier Black-0.081641201210175CSL Bronze South
194Slammers FC Maroon Todorovic-0.83645120121662SCSDL Flight 2
195TVSA Kuramoto-0.933700210.33116127
196Strikers FC Mission Viejo Townson-1.0051070400523178SCSDL Flight 3
197International FC Fuego-1.162550400123147CSL Bronze West
198Inland United Manchester United-1.301560300017139
199Fram-2.82910200019NACSL Silver-Elite North
200San Diego United Black-3.01813701010.09544NA