Monday, October 3, 2016

CAS G05 Youth Soccer Rankings (7)

These are the Cal South Girls 2005 Birth Year rankings as calculated by Excel Solver using a best fit algorithm to match up team strength ratings with actual tournament and league play results. Rankings for the teams that have a higher sample size are starting to get stable. Teams move up in the rankings by beating a team by more than predicted (by Solver) or losing by less than expected. Teams with smaller sample sizes of games can also move up or down based off of the strength of schedule of teams they have played in the past improving.

CAS Girls 2005 Soccer Rankings (as of October 3, 2016)
RankTeamSRSRank SoSWLTGFGALeaguePrevious1 WK Move3 WK Move
1LAGSB 2005 ELITE12.2815224011214SCSDL Flight 1100
2SD SURF EGSL ACADEMY 200511.854117417017SCSDL Flight 1200
3SO CAL BLUES 2005 DRALUCK11.5261219329518SCSDL Flight 1300
4BEACH FC - LB WHITE-R.PEREZ10.835225338422SCSDL Flight 1401
5EAGLES10.5252916217910CSL Silver-Elite South50-1
6STRIKERS FC - OC 2005 EGSL10.491610224813SCSDL Flight 1600
7SO CAL BLUES 2005 KALE10.014815435217SCSDL Flight 1700
8LAGSD G05 ELITE-GURLEY9.72218506316CSL Silver-Elite South800
9LEGENDS FC 059.0781320564517SCSDL Flight 11011
10IE SURF G05 PREMIER RB8.964149653721CSL Silver-Elite South9-1-1
11REBELS GOLD 20058.72927284410446SDDA Flight 11210
12TFA S.E. LA 8.693319618026CSL Silver-Elite South1310
13REAL SO CAL G05 WHITE8.5053015715920SCSDL Flight 11417
14ARSENAL FC SAN DIEGO GU12 ELITE8.4521711713526SCSDL Flight 111-3-1
15BEACH FC - SB G05 PARKER8.3751510643528SCSDL Flight 11617
16CDA SLAMMERS FC - HB G05 GATH8.323971143638SCSDL Flight 1182-1
17DMCV SHARKS G2005 - MAC MILLAN8.305351424427SDDA Flight 115-22
18IRVINE SLAMMERS FC G05 EGSL WINN8.1941111944144SCSDL Flight 1191-4
19CCU SOCAL ACADEMY G058.1932610724021CSL Silver-Elite South17-2-1
20CROWN CITY UNITED G057.9113110433212CSL Silver-Elite South2221
21SANTA MONICA UTD G057.824521413499CSL Silver North20-1-4
22MURRIETA SURF G05 WHITE7.819131264346SCSDL Flight 12424
23BYSC CORONA UNITED G057.733104621321CSL Silver-Elite South2307
24CDA SLAMMERS FC - CERRITOS G05 SEGOVIA7.72413944334SCSDL Flight 12621
25LEGENDS FC SOUTH G057.666361652353SCSDL Flight 12502
26SD SURF ACADEMY GIRLS (BARCLAY) 20057.561461121840SCSDL Flight 121-5-10
27LAGSD G05 PREMIER II-BOUCHEREAU7.5312311933129SDDA Flight 12811
28FC GOLDEN STATE - 2005 PDA EAST7.503641741340CSL Silver-Elite South27-1-4
29OCEANSIDE BREAKERS - G05 BLK7.352751142044SDDA Flight 13010
30ALBION SC - OC WHITE G057.2588513226017CSL Silver South29-1-7
31HOTSPURS USA - G2005 PREMIER7.1524013845631SDDA Flight 13211
32FRAM G05 - HERNANDEZ7.1394116967138CSL Silver-Elite South3421
33ALBION SC G05 ACADEMY7.0792061562446SDDA Flight 13743
34COASTAL VALLEY IMPACT G057.0751221211546CSL Bronze Alpha351-3
35REBELS - G05 BLUE - HUGO6.9235312935927SDDA Flight 233-23
36LAGSB GIRLS 2005 GOLD6.894376732515SCSDL Flight 231-55
37LAGSD G05 GOLD - WALKER6.8828613335615SDDA Flight 24140
38STRIKERS FC - OC 2005 BLACK6.864711434019SCSDL Flight 14576
39EXPRESS GIRLS 2005 PREMIER - NEWMAN6.8312810834146SDDA Flight 13901
40ALBION SC SOUTH - G05 ACADEMY6.79636191636653SDDA Flight 24003
41ANAHEIM SURF SOCCER CLUB G2005 SANCHEZ6.79321262514SCSDL Flight 138-3-7
42LA UNITED FA G2005 WHITE6.757951226539SCSDL Flight 24203
43CENTRAL COAST CONDORS G056.6951198013710CSL Bronze Alpha36-76
44FREEDOM FC G-056.46711625318814SCSDL Flight 24736
45CDA SLAMMERS FC - TUSTIN G05 EGSL AVILES6.462581112845SCSDL Flight 15387
46PATEADORES G2005 RSM6.4587316404514SCSDL Flight 24600
47SLAMMERS FC G20056.444327802327SCSDL Flight 144-3-12
48SAN DIEGO SC G2005 ACADEMY NAVY6.3631821221843SDDA Flight 14803
49BEACH FC - LB G05 A.PEREZ (CALATRONI)6.35839131255853SCSDL Flight 2501-1
50WEST COAST FC G05 PRE-ECNL6.2643481003434SCSDL Flight 15115
51OXNARD PAL SC G126.2351881411756CSL Bronze Beta43-8-12
52FC VALENCIA G20056.2186112443213SCSDL Flight 25425
53OC PREMIER G05 ORANGE6.094486923427CSL Silver-Elite South5523
54LEGENDS FC GOLD 056.074571044338SCSDL Flight 25626
55RIVERSIDE FC6.056154810334CSL Bronze East49-6-8
56SLAMMERS FC G2005 MAROON - TAMIKO5.967446631513SCSDL Flight 252-4-14
57SLOSC STORM G055.96662331105CSL Silver North73169
58DMCV SHARKS G2005 - FAVOR5.934389822631SDDA Flight 25910
59APPLE VALLEY STORM5.91813511225010CSL Bronze East66711
60PALM DESERT SC G055.8035110503128CSL Silver South57-37
61IE SURF G05 PARK5.7789012313618CSL Silver South67612
62FALLBROOK VILLA F.C. 20055.7671571202474Presidio AA-A60-2-8
63BEACH FC - SB G05 FISHER5.611899723619SCSDL Flight 258-5-1
64IE SURF G05 BATTISTA5.526549723132CSL Silver South61-3-11
65FULLERTON RANGERS G05 WHITE5.477211513526CSL Silver South63-2-2
66WEST COAST ELITE FC BLACK5.438569201718CSL Silver North65-18
67PATEADORES - HB G2005 BLUE5.432798813322SCSDL Flight 262-54
68POWAY VAQUEROS ACADEMY - G05 M.WILLRICH5.3518712823723Presidio AAA702-4
69REAL SO CAL G05 BLUE5.307435731727SCSDL Flight 274511
70SO CAL BLUES 2005 KALE - OTTO5.2148471044030SCSDL Flight 269-1-9
71CARDIFF MUSTANGS - G05 RED CLARE5.196827832214SDDA Flight 2710-6
72LA PREMIER FC5.1934631091630CSL Silver-Elite South78610
73STRIKERS FC - NORTH G05 IA5.1681048512513SCSDL Flight 279622
74STRIKERS FC - SB G2005 - WHITE5.159596721417SCSDL Flight 272-214
75SOUTH SLAMMERS FC G055.11112411433810SCSDL Flight 27610
76KICKERS SC G055.066584852732CSL Bronze Alpha64-12-8
77SPORTING SD - G2005 - ANTHONY/NEIL SAFFER5.05580101133730SDDA Flight 28581
78NOTTS FOREST 2005 RED5.0199211532417Presidio AAA8023
79IE SURF G05 HF WEST4.928686943841CSL Silver-Elite South8237
80BEACH FC - SB G05 FISHER B4.908150502173SCSDL Flight 310626-11
81LA JOLLA IMPACT - G2005 BLUE PAINTER4.897889683126SDDA Flight 28438
82WEST COAST FC G05 SWANSON4.8534261032040SCSDL Flight 287516
83FUTBOL FOUNDATION SC4.8411639625921CSL Bronze North75-825
84SANTA BARBARA SC WHITE4.77649361817CSL Silver North8841
85DESERT ELITE FC NATIVES4.7751825102610CSL Bronze East11126NA
86OXNARD UNITED SC4.76513013836836CSL Silver North860-9
87PYSL BLAST SC - GHIO G20054.7421137432211Presidio AAA96914
88HURRICANES G054.694200812431Presidio AA-C North81-7NA
89REAL SO CAL - SCV G2005W - SALVADORI4.66966101052536SCSDL Flight 2912-2
90LAGSD G05 WHITE-CACIOPPO4.62816513355511Presidio AA-A99914
91SCRIPPS UNITED - G2005 RED4.604639912031SDDA Flight 289-2-19
92SD SURF ACADEMY GIRLS (BROOKFIELD) 20054.56410511624540SCSDL Flight 2942-13
93PATEADORES - IER G05 BAILLIE4.55410110843228SCSDL Flight 2952-10
94LAGUNA UNITED FC 2005 BLUE (DYNAMITE)4.5371008722624SCSDL Flight 2984-10
95PATEADORES G05 MV4.4987510753442SCSDL Flight 292-3-1
96TEAM USA G05-064.495785752530CSL Silver North105914
97SOUTH VALLEY G05 CHAMBERS4.4886722158CSL Silver North68-29NA
98CENTRAL CA AZTECS G20054.4291487323214CSL Bronze North77-21-39
99WEST COAST FC G05 FILIPOVIC4.3979791243134SCSDL Flight 21001-7
100MATRIX G05 EC4.3881921520568Presidio AA-B South90-107
101FC PREMIER G2005 - NAPALAN4.3739371342429SCSDL Flight 21010-2
102SAND AND SURF SC G2005 BLACK4.3131036741919SCSDL Flight 21031-11
103WESTSIDE BREAKERS 05 BLUE4.31067802929SCSDL Flight 397-6-13
104LEGACY UNITED SC G054.295654611524CSL Bronze Alpha104019
105LNYSA SIGNATURE FLAMES FC4.23511821032Signature League 1083-3
106WESTSIDE BREAKERS 05 WHITE4.215554801531SCSDL Flight 21093-9
107LEGENDS FC - EAST CORONA G054.2139851122530SCSDL Flight 2102-54
108CDA SLAMMERS FC - WHITTIER G05 CARROLL4.1821155712320SCSDL Flight 211248
109LEON4.0031662221910UNKNOWN1145-3
110CANYON FC G05 NAGENGAST3.985813641626CSL Silver South1166-10
111NADO - G20053.933144824229Presidio AA-A1211013
112LA MIRADA SA G053.9311971011375CSL Bronze South83-2910
113CANYON HILLS UNITED S A 053.911179310114Signature League 126132
114FC GOLDEN STATE PDA - ESPEJEL3.9169183418CSL Silver South12410-1
115EXPRESS GIRLS 2005 SELECT - FULL3.90113811433624Presidio AA-B North1183-22
116COASTAL VALLEY FLASH SB3.874911521117CSL Bronze Alpha110-61
117SIMI VALLEY ECLIPSE3.85517311614517CSL Bronze Gamma1192-3
118SAN MARCOS UNITED - G20053.84714610343217Presidio AA-A12352
119BEACH FC - SB G05 K.PINEDA3.8231115551417SCSDL Flight 21201-10
120YASC SPARTANS FC G053.797713721529CSL Silver South127714
121LA GALAXY BAKERSFIELD G053.7691743232513CSL Bronze North93-28-18
122SIMI VALLEY PREMIER GREEN3.71818911505122CSL Bronze Gamma117-5-17
123MATRIX G05 SE WHT FABRICE3.71112691013329Presidio AA-A122-1-11
124FC PREMIER G2005 - BLACK BURROLA3.68117101024247SCSDL Flight 212957
125VC FUSION 20053.64460261924CSL Silver North1250-6
126LAGSB GIRLS 2005 NAVY3.6431255562119SCSDL Flight 2138129
127MATRIX G05 SE BLU PARISE3.573123101223535Presidio AAA13250
128LA GALAXY CV G05 BLUE3.5261495502418CSL Bronze Beta13689
129NEWCASTLE UNITED G20053.50817110523314CSL Bronze Delta13127
130SAN DIEGO SC G2005 WHITE3.47129141344039Presidio AA-B North1300-2
131OVC - G2005 (GIGANTE)3.4627051431750Presidio AAA1332-13
132SD UNITED G/2005 BLACK3.44112010733540Presidio AAA128-4-6
133LEGENDS FC G05 BLACK3.3467651022449SCSDL Flight 314070
134HOTSPURS USA - G2005 WHITE3.341849143214Presidio AA-B South1373-9
135LA UNITED FA G2005 RED3.331314521718SCSDL Flight 3115-20-39
136TVHSC GIRLS 2005 ACADEMY3.314114362512SCSDL Flight 213936
137ARSENAL FC - LA G05 FC MEJIA3.285180530189SCSDL Flight 3135-23
138IRVINE SLAMMERS FC G05 WHITE - WATSON**3.2169451112144SCSDL Flight 21446-9
139ALBION SC G05 PREMIER3.1481286971926Presidio AA-A1423-1
140MILAN ACADEMY G05 RED3.1121374832225CSL Bronze East154147
141TEMECULA UNITED - G2005L3.111811232258Presidio AA-B North14108
142CDA SLAMMERS FC - YL G05 HUIE/CARILLO3.0691104832339SCSDL Flight 21431-3
143PATEADORES-PYL G2005 BLUE3.013176312126SCSDL Flight 3113-30-67
144SLAMMERS FC G2005 WHITE3.0121337812531SCSDL Flight 31462-23
145ARSENAL FC G052.90883132314SCSDL Flight 21483NA
146CA FOOTBALL ACADEMY-SAN CLEMENTE G05 HADWICK2.868112281719SCSDL Flight 314710
147ARSENAL FC SD G05 ELITE II- E. OCAMPO2.8571083721228SDDA Flight 21492-6
148LIVERPOOL SC G05 - RED2.812168131014233Presidio AA-B South158102
149MVSC LEGACY2.8061917422711CSL Bronze South134-153
150RSF ATTACK G05 GREEN2.8031090104221Presidio AA-A1533-2
151CDA SLAMMERS FC - FULLERTON G2005 BAUTISTA2.763741113840SCSDL Flight 215215
152CULVER CITY FC G052.7281516512022CSL Bronze West1671525
153BARCA CANTERA JOHNY 05 RED2.65816211723332Presidio AA-B South1552-9
154VISTA STORM SC - G2005 BLACK2.6341555632021Presidio AA-B North16060
155MURRIETA SURF G05 BLUE2.5851525933237SCSDL Flight 316167
156AV UNITED - AC2.5581774221815CSL Bronze North1751910
157REBELS SOCCER CLUB - G05 WHITE2.54612141352045Presidio AA-A1592-4
158BEACH FC - SB G05 HANSEN2.5441535912227SCSDL Flight 316245
159CDA SLAMMERS FC - TUSTIN G05 FLOR2.511433531117SCSDL Flight 21645-1
160OCEANSIDE BREAKERS - G05 BLUE2.391453871728Presidio AA-B North16668
161INTERNATIONAL FC G05 SHAH2.3591705431110CSL Bronze West1632-16
162FC LONG BEACH G05 RED2.3141754531615CSL Bronze West150-12-30
163FRYSC SIGNATURE G052.30518522043Signature League 156-7-2
164FC CAMARILLO - AC2.2251903501411CSL Bronze Gamma151-13NA
165IUSC MAN UNTD 05 ANTON2.1751272721833CSL Bronze EastNANA23
166MATRIX G05 ST - MATTES2.1521967642514Presidio AA-C South165-1-15
167LAGSD G05 WHITE-BEDFORD2.1511586931423Presidio AA-C North1681-8
168REIGN FC2.12357030010HDYSL1735-11
169SAN CLEMENTE SURF G052.11723561923SCSDL Flight 317910NA
170CSC G-2005 RED1.9781873471820Presidio AA-B South1711-10
171FC LONG BEACH G05 BLUE1.9461604931324CSL Bronze South1765-1
172VICTORVILLE UNITED - AC1.934140232816CSL Bronze EastNANANA
173BEACH FC - LB G05 ALBENO1.9241413821631SCSDL Flight 31901711
174SHERMAN OAKS EXTREME SC G20051.90617812289SCSDL Flight 318410-3
175OXNARD WAVE SC1.884102360729CSL Bronze Beta18380
176SPORTING SD - G2005 - PATRICK YEATTS1.865193141015446Presidio AA-C South1826-3
177LAGSB GIRLS 2005 WHITE1.8571563941024SCSDL Flight 3169-8-22
178AYSO EXTRA ARSENAL1.82399030311AYSO Extra1802-4
179SAN DIEGO SC G2005 ORANGE1.813642152972SDDA Flight 2177-2-7
180LA GALAXY CV G05 RED1.8081864501315CSL Bronze Gamma145-35-50
181EXPRESS GIRLS 2005 SELECT - GUTIERREZ1.7871644631222Presidio AA-B North1854-38
182VC FUSION G2005-11.634198430139CSL Bronze Beta174-8NA
183CRESCENTA VALLEY SC G051.5931324811741SCSDL Flight 31885-4
184MAMBA FC G 05/061.4421945521516CSL Bronze SouthNANA-4
185GREATER LB IMPACT1.385134291326CSL Bronze West1894-7
186SANTA MONICA UTD G05 BLUE1.381954401011CSL Bronze West178-8-19
187AC BREA G05 RED1.3451694621326CSL Bronze South1870-6
188DMCV SHARKS G2005 - HAMMOND1.338772150665SDDA Flight 21935-6
189LAZERS SC1.31319941042CSL Bronze Delta157-32NA
190FRAM SCACHETTI1.206147492834CSL Bronze West1922-7
191FFSC WHITE1.1921427622755CSL Bronze East1910-15
192STRIKERS FC - MV G2005 TOWNSON1.181673711630SCSDL Flight 31953NA
193IRVINE SLAMMERS FC - G05 BLACK NICCOLE**0.7191594811540SCSDL Flight 31974-4
194INLAND PREMIER VANGUARDS G20050.7021835501226Presidio AA-C North1940-9
195YASC SPARTANS FC G05 BLK0.6651362911546CSL Bronze EastNANANA
196GRANADA UNITED G050.543139251425CSL Bronze Gamma1960-10
197LAGUNA UNITED FC 2005 WHITE0.442161131718SCSDL Flight 3NANANA
198CDA SLAMMERS FC - HB G05 REYES/LOPEZ-0.049960121362SCSDL Flight 21980-7
199MADRID PREMIER G05C-0.94850090261CSL Bronze Alpha1990-2
200INFERNO F.C. -2.757107030021Signature League NANA0

2 comments:

  1. This is very helpful. Thank you! Did you include the recent September 25th G05 SCDSL Showcase events - that entail cross divisional play, and allow teams to play each other that often don't? Reason I mention is that I see there were several "upsets" that weekend according to the rankings on this sheet:

    Tier 2 Showcase results:
    http://www.scdslsoccer.com/schedules/85189294/85189410.html

    Tier1 Showcase results:
    http://www.scdslsoccer.com/schedules/85189294/85189409.html

    Thank you again. This is very helpful to help scout the competition.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yes - both Flight 1 and Flight 2 showcase games were included.

    ReplyDelete